2013-02-28 15:04:19 - Fast Market Research recommends "Argentina Agribusiness Report Q1 2013" from Business Monitor International, now available

BMI View: The rebound in the Argentine agricultural sector is occurring at an important time for the global agricultural industry. Although the 2012/13 wheat crop is expected to be very low by recent standards, this is mainly due to farmers switching to soybeans and corn due to better pricing. In the wake of an extremely poor US corn and soybean crop, Argentina (along with Brazil) will play a vital role in keeping grain prices from rising further in the coming months. Although we forecast strong grain production from Argentina in 2012/13, we are generally below official forecasts due to our expectation for slightly lower yields. The country's once flagging beef sector also shows signs of improvement, as cattle herds are

rebuilding due to better pasture conditions, at a time when the beef sector in the US is struggling. However, we do not believe Argentina will return to its place as one of the world's pre-eminent beef exports.


Full Report Details at
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Key Trends

* Corn production growth to 2016/17: 58.1% to 33.2mn tonnes. We expect the area harvested to increase as improved prices and export opportunities arising from increasing livestock and biofuel production encourage farmers to plant corn. However, some of this growth will also be due to base effects.
* Soybean production growth to 2016/17: 33.5% to 54.1mn tonnes. This is mainly due to recent government approval for new types of genetically modified seeds, which are likely to boost yields over the medium term.
* Beef production growth to 2016/17: 27.0% to 3.3mn tonnes. The return of herd building in 2011/12 following good rains in many areas and the improvement of pastures, combined with firm beef prices, is likely to lead to improved production. Indeed, production would probably be higher if export taxes on beef, at 15%, were reduced. However, we note that much of this growth is due to base effects.
* 2013 real GDP growth: 1.0% year-on-year (y-o-y) (down from 2.8% in 2012; predicted to average 3.4% from 2012 until 2017).
* Consumer price index: 25% y-o-y in 2013 (same as 2012).

Partial Table of Contents:

BMI Industry View
- BMI Industry View
SWOT
- SWOT - Argentina - Q113
Industry Forecast
- Argentina Sugar Outlook
- Table: Argentina Sugar Production & Consumption, 2012-2017
- Table: Argentina Sugar Production & Consumption, 2007-2012
- Argentina Livestock Outlook
- Table: Argentina Poultry Production & Consumption, 2012-2017
- Table: Argentina Pork Production & Consumption, 2012-2017
- Table: Argentina Beef & Veal Production & Consumption, 2012-2017
- Table: Argentina Poultry Production & Consumption, 2007-2012
- Table: Argentina Pork Production & Consumption, 2007-2012
- Table: Argentina Beef & Veal Production & Consumption, 2007-2012
- Argentina Soybean Outlook
- Table: Argentina Soybean Production & Consumption, 2012-2017
- Table: Argentina Soybean Production & Consumption, 2007-2012
- Argentina Dairy Outlook
- Table: Argentina Milk Production & Consumption, 2012-2017
- Table: Argentina Cheese Production & Consumption, 2012-2017
- Table: Argentina Butter Production & Consumption, 2012-2017
- Table: Argentina Milk Production & Consumption, 2007-2012
- Table: Argentina Cheese Production & Consumption, 2007-2012
- Table: Argentina Butter Production & Consumption, 2007-2012
- Argentina Grains Outlook
- Table: Argentina Wheat Production & Consumption, 2012-2017
- Table: Argentina Corn Production & Consumption, 2012-2017
- Table: Argentina Barley Production & Consumption, 2012-2017
- Table: Argentina Wheat Production & Consumption, 2007-2012
- Table: Argentina Corn Production & Consumption, 2007-2012
- Table: Argentina Barley Production & Consumption, 2007-2012
Commodity Price Analysis
- Monthly Softs Strategy
- Table: BMI Commodity Price Strategy
- Table: Agricultural Commodity Performance & Forecasts
- Monthly Grains Strategy
- Table: Agricultural Commodity Performance & Forecasts
Upstream Analysis
- Americas Machinery Outlook
- Americas Fertiliser Outlook
- Americas GM Outlook
Downstream Analysis
- Industry Forecast - Food
- Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Table: Canned Food Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Table: Oils & Fats Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Industry Forecast - Drink
- Table: Coffee Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Table: Tea Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Table: Soft Drink Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Table: Carbonated Soft Drinks Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
Industry Forecast - Mass Grocery Retail
- Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Table: Sales Breakdown by Retail Format Type
- Table: Trade Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
Demographic Forecast
- Argentina Demographic Data
- Table: Argentina's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
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Full Table of Contents is available at:
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