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Belarus pharmaceutical market: Latest market research analysed
The Pharmaceutical Market: Belarus - a new market research report on 2014-03-13 14:17:02
We remain largely pessimistic about the Belarus´ pharmaceutical market development in the short term at least. While the government remains committed to boosting domestic pharmaceutical output over the coming years, with authorities in manufacturing joint venture (JV) discussions with a number of countries, the devalued rouble, high inflation and weak household consumption will continue to constrain both volume and value of medicines consumed in the country. We also note increased political and also economic risks, as the country aligns itself away from the European Union (EU).

Headline Expenditure Projections:

Pharmaceuticals: BYR3,598bn in 2011 (US$692mn) to BYR5,623bn (US$686mn) in 2012; +56.3% in local currency terms and -1.0% in US dollar terms. Forecast upgraded slightly from Q412 on the basis of new macroeconomic data.

Healthcare: BYR12,764bn (US$2.46bn) in 2011 to BYR17,621bn (US$2.15bn) in 2012; +38.1% in local currency terms and -12.5% in US dollar terms. Forecast upgraded slightly from Q412 on the basis of new macroeconomic data.

Medical Devices: BYR2,174bn (US$418mn) in 2011 to BYR3,234bn (US$394mn); +48.8% in local currency terms and -5.7% in US dollar terms. Forecast upgraded slightly from Q412 on the basis of new macroeconomic data.

Risk/Reward Rating

The Pharmaceutical risk/reward rating (RRR) score for Belarus worsened in Q113, largely on account of high levels of inflation and the corresponding weak growth in US dollar terms. The country remains viewed as one of the least attractive pharmaceutical markets in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), ranking 18th out of 20 countries surveyed regionally. Risks also remain elevated, both on the political and economic fronts.

Competitive Landscape

The competitive landscape section provides comparative company analyses and rankings by US$ sales and % share of total sales - for the total pharmaceutical sector, as well as the OTC, generics, and distribution sub-sectors.

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