2012-10-28 15:23:29 - Fast Market Research recommends "Bosnia-Herzegovina Infrastructure Report Q4 2012" from Business Monitor International, now available
BMI View: The construction and infrastructure sector in Bosnia and Herzegovina (BiH) rests on shaky ground as the Eurozone crisis continues to deplete enthusiasm from investors. The coalition government adds further risk with unstable alliances and the risk of a much more pronounced downturn in economic activity. Construction industry value is forecast to stand at US$0.7bn in 2012, with average year-on-year (y-o-y) growth of 2.2% expecting to see the industry value rise marginally by 2016, to US$0.8bn.
Key factors contributing to growth include:
* The proposed expansion of a terminal at Sarajevo Airport was postponed owing to a lack of demand from passengers. The airport only handled 600,000 passengers during 2011 while the current terminal building has an annual capacity of
1mn passengers. The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) provided the Bosnia-Herzegovinian government with a EUR25mn (US$30.76mn) loan for the project in 2010.
* Bosnia's Muslim-Croat Federation entered into a construction contract with Turkish construction company Cengiz Insaat. The contract, valued at EUR115mn (US$146mn), is for a section of a future north-south highway. The Suhodol-Tarcin section involves constructing a 3.5km of tunnels and an interchange. The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development is financing the project, with construction due to take 28 months.
Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/479361_bosniaherzegovina_infrastructure_repo ..
Tensions between ethnic groups in Bosnia will continue to weigh on the country's EU accession prospects, development potential and risk profile through the next decade. Indeed, the risks to the status quo are primarily weighted to the downside, in our view, with a number of issues having the potential to result in a further deterioration in the political situation. That said, we expect the international community to remain firmly committed to Bosnia, which should prevent a relapse into large-scale armed conflict.
Despite the lack of timely GDP data, it is becoming increasingly clear that Bosnia's economic outlook is deteriorating rapidly. Data from the industrial and export sectors show a marked weakening in activity during the first half of the year, with any meaningful improvement unlikely by year-end. Providing significant impediments to the recovery are the eurozone debt crisis which is hitting trade, as well as domestic headwinds, such as the ongoing political disunity and temporary output suspension in the aluminium and energy industries.
Report Table of Contents:
- Bosnia Infrastructure SWOT
- Competitive Landscape
- Table: EQS
- Table: Cement - Price/Volume % Variances (9m10/9m11)
- Cement Forecasts
- Table: Bosnia Cement Production and Consumption Data, 2008 - 2016
- Table: Bosnia Cement Production and Consumption Long Term Forecasts, 2013 - 2021
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Bosnia Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2008 - 2016
- Table: Bosnia Construction And Infrastructure Long Term Forecasts, 2013 -2021
- Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
- Outlook and Overview
- Major Projects Table - Transport
- Table: Major Projects - Transport
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure
- Outlook and Overview
- Major Projects Table - Energy and Utilities
- Table: Major Projects - Energy and Utilities
Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure
- Outlook and Overview
- Major Projects Table - Residential, Non-Residential and Social Infrastructure
- Table: Major Projects - Residential, Non-Residential and Social Infrastructure
- Bosnia's Risk/Reward Ratings
- Regional Overview
- Central and Eastern Europe Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: BMI's Central and Eastern Europe Risk/Reward Ratings
- STRABAG SE
- Table: BMI Infrastructure Index - YTD Top Performers (%)
- Table: BMI Infrastructure Index - YTD Worst Performers (%)
- Industry Forecasts
- Construction Industry
- Data Methodology
- New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors
- Capital Investment
- Construction Sector Employment
- Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: Infrastructure Business Environment Indicators
- Project Finance Ratings
- Table: Design And Construction Phase
- Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase - Commercial Construction
- Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase - Energy And Utilities
- Table: Commissioning And Operating Phase - Transport
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