2013-08-20 09:02:43 - Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Bosnia-Herzegovina Telecommunications Report Q4 2013", is now available at Fast Market Research
The Bosnian telecoms market is undergoing a period of transition as the regulator increases competition in the mobile market via mobile number portability, MVNO access and ending historical concessions. Meanwhile, consolidation of smaller players in the wireline market is presenting stronger competition to the three regional incumbents. Wireless data services are becoming more established, with operators extending investment outside their historical concession areas. There is also the prospect of the privatisation of some of the state holdings in the sector, with reported interest from major telecoms groups in the region. These developments are ushering in a brighter era for the market, which in 2013 still remains a laggard in the region in terms of service penetration for mobile and broadband,
with relatively high prices and little progress on VAS.
Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/670547_bosniaherzegovina_telecommunications_ ..
* We upgraded our forecast for broadband subscription growth in Bosnia this quarter, based on revised historical data for both fixed and dedicated mobile broadband subscriptions. We now estimate a total of 601,300 broadband subscriptions at the end of 2012, up 14.7% y-o-y.
* Mobile subscriptions increased by 5.4% in 2012 to 3.352mn; however, on the basis of operator results from Telekom Srpske for Q113 that showed a net loss of 77,000, we consider an uncertainty about the growth trajectory for 2013.
* Data from the regulator, CRA, showed Bosnia's fixed-line market to have declined faster in 2012 compared to 2011, with the rate of decline accelerating to 9.8% from 4.5% in 2011.
Key Trends & Developments
Consolidation continued to be a prominent trend in the wireline market in 2013 as Telemach announced the March 2013 acquisition of Art-Net, which operates cable services in the cities of Kiseljak, Vitez, Travnik and Busovaca. Telemach stated its intention to upgrade and expand the Art-Net network. This acquisition followed the move in December 2012 by Mid Europa Partners to merge Serbia Broadband with Telemach Group to create an entity with strong pay-TV presence, as well as high-capacity broadband, fixed voice and mobile MVNO services.
Meanwhile, competition is also increasing in the mobile market. In May 2013 it was announced that Aneks, a fixed-line voice, broadband and pay-TV operator, would become an MVNO service over BH Telecom's mobile network, expanding its reach across the country. We expect further MVNO launches in the short-tomedium term, which will increase competition for the three regional incumbents. Meanwhile, mobile number portability (MNP) was finally introduced on January 2013 after many months of delay. However, there are as yet no data indicating the impact on the leading mobile operators either in terms of subscription gains/losses or declines in ARPU. We believe the service will put downward pressure on ARPU as it sparked another round of promotional activities in the mobile markets, with network operators seeking to attract customers away from rival networks, while retaining their existing client base.
Report Table of Contents:
BMI Industry View
- Executive Summary
- Business environment
- Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
- Table: Bosnian Telecoms Sector - Mobile ARPU
- Fixed Line
- Table: Industry Forecast - Fixed Line
- Table: Industry Forecast - Internet
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
- Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: Central And Eastern Europe Telecoms Risk/Reward Ratings, Q413
- Regional Overview
- Table: Regional Comparison, 2012
- Key Developments
- Mobile Growth
- Market Share
- Subscriber Mix
- Mobile Content
- Mobile Operator Data
- Table: Bosnia & Herzegovina Mobile Market Overview
- Table: Mobilne Srpske
- Table: BH Telecom
- Table: HT Mostar
- Market Overview
- Fixed Line
- Table: Bosnia & Herzegovina's Fixed-Line Operators
- Table: Wireline Developments, 2009-2011
Industry Trends And Developments
- Table: Selected Developments
- Table: Bosnia & Herzegovina: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
- Table: Key Players
- Table: Selected Operators' Financial Indicators
- BH Telecom
- Financial Performance
- Table: Vendor Revenue Comparisons (US$mn)
- Restructuring Efforts
- Geographical Breakdown
- Table: Net Sales By Geography (EURmn)
- Table: Bosnia & Herzegovina's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
- Table: Bosnia & Herzegovina's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
- Table: Bosnia & Herzegovina's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
- Table: Bosnia & Herzegovina's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
- Table: Glossary Of Terms
- Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts
- Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
- Table: Ratings Indicators
- Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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