2014-02-07 21:37:02 - Brazil Metals Report Q1 2014 - a new market research report on companiesandmarkets.com
Metals consumption growth in Brazil will be driven by the automotives, construction and infrastructure sectors as spending on fixed asset investment under Brazil´s Growth Acceleration Programme accelerates into 2014. We note, however, that persistent delays are likely to lead to consumption weakness in the short term. More broadly, we foresee metals demand growth on the back of our forecast for 3.2% economic growth on average per annum from 2014 to 2017, with growth accelerating over the period.
Consumption To Exceed Production We believe metals demand will grow, though there are various risks in the short term. After a disappointing 2012 and continued disappointing data into 2013, in which overall economic growth slowed and fixed asset investment stalled, we see activity picking
up in 2014. However, while we believe government fiscal stimulus policies, namely tax cuts and spending, are likely to continue, we think such efforts will be more limited than in the past given persistent inflation and deteriorating fiscal dynamics.
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