2014-01-26 19:12:43 - New Transportation market report from Business Monitor International: "China Freight Transport Report Q1 2014"
China's economy appears to be finally buckling under the weight of its credit binge. Despite record new credit issuance in recent months, the manufacturing sector has once again entered contraction in line with our view. Efforts to reform and rebalance are too little too late to avoid the hangover effects of past stimulus measures, and we believe that a recession is at hand, with negative knock-on effects for the freight transport sector.
The slowdown in China's economic growth is projected to continue in 2014, with growth of 6.7% predicted to follow estimated growth of 7.5% in 2013. The slowdown in China's economic growth, while a worry for freight transport operators exposed to this sector, as expansion plans may have to be
curtailed, is not as big a threat to the sector in the short term as that of the demand outlook for China's key export markets of the US and eurozone.
Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/763949_china_freight_transport_report_q1_201 ..
Headline Industry Data
* 2014 air freight tonnes/km is expected to grow by 4.8%.
* 2014 rail freight tonnes/km is forecast to contract by 1.2%.
* 2014 Port of Shanghai throughput is forecast to grow by 6.3%.
* 2014 road freight tonnes/km is forecast to grow by 10.4%.
Key Industry Trends
Chinese Rail Volumes Up in October
Railway cargo traffic reached 348.1mn tonnes in October 2013 (latest available data), a year-on-year surge of 7.4%, led by robust coal transportation. The China Railway Corporation (CRC) is a successor to the Ministry of Railways, which was dismantled after a cabinet restructuring plan earlier this year. China Air Cargo Volumes Increases 1%
China posted a 1% year-on-year increase in air freight volume to 463,100 tonnes in August 2013, according to the Civil Aviation Administration China. Domestic flights moved 2.1% more cargo, which equalled 331,900 tonnes in August, but Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan freight volume slipped 7.7% to 17,300 tonnes while international air cargo was down 1.6% to 131,200 tonnes.
China Plans Capacity-Enhancing River Construction Projects
China's Ministry of Transport has announced plans to develop river waterways to establish a modern inland transport system by 2020. There will be five major projects over seven years. These will include enhancements of river navigational channels, inland port hub development, transport service upgrades and software to modernise inland shipping.
Report Table of Contents:
The table of contents for this report is available upon request.
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