2013-02-25 09:56:53 -
Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "China Retail Report Q2 2013", is now available at Fast Market Research
The China Retail Report examines the long-term potential of the local consumer market, but flags shortterm concerns about the impact on China's economic outlook of the disruptive process of rebalancing following the peak reached by the country's economic imbalances.
The report examines how best to maximise returns in the Chinese retail market while minimising investment risk. It also explores the impact of the risk of a global recession on the Chinese consumer as well as on the ability of producers and exporters to realise returns in the short term. The report also analyses the growth and risk management strategies being employed by leading players in the Chinese retail sector as they seek to maximise the growth opportunities offered by the market.
Full
Report Details at
-
www.fastmr.com/prod/541177_china_retail_report_q2_2013.aspx
Chinese per capita consumer spending is forecast to increase by 46% to 2017, compared with a regional growth average of 49%. China comes first (out of seven) in BMI's Asia Retail risk/reward ratings.
Among all retail categories, mass grocery retail (MGR) will be one of the outperformers through to 2017 in growth terms, with sales forecast to increase by 42% between 2013 and 2017, from US$124.46bn to US $176.74bn as high disposable incomes in urban centres create an aspirational consumer base.
In the competitive arena, BMI sees upside potential in government efforts to harness rural spending power, which should ultimately broaden the consumer base susceptible to modern retailing and branding.Over the last quarter, BMI has revised the following forecasts and views:
* The main forecast change we have made since our last report is in the speed of rebalancing in the Chinese economy. We now expect consumer's share of GDP to rise at a faster rate than previously forecast, with consumption (private and public) now expected to rise above 50% of the economy by 2014 (rather than in 2016) and to continue to rise in importance thereafter.
* While private consumption should outperform in 2012 as a whole, and in 2013, this will not be the result of a consumer boom, but rather a sharper deterioration in investment and export. There is little chance that the consumer can carry growth in China as investment spending slows as falling home prices and rising unemployment will weigh on consumer spending. BMI forecasts headline consumer spending to grow at 8.0% in 2012 and 2013, which marks a downward revision from our previous forecast of 8.4% for both years.
Report Table of Contents:
BMI Industry View
- Executive Summary
SWOT
- Political
- Economic
- Business Environment
Industry Forecast
- Table: China Retail Sales Indicators, 2010-2017
- Table: Retail Sales By Key Segment, 2013 Forecast
Economic Analysis
- Macroeconomic Forecast
- Table: China - Economic Activity
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
- Asia Reward Ratings
- Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: Asia Pacific Retail Risk/Reward Ratings
- Risk Reward Ratings
- China's Retail Risk/Reward Rating
- Limits Of Potential Returns
- Risks To Realisation Of Returns
Market Overview
- Current Trends
- Key Players
Regional Overview
- Regional Overview
- Table: Asia Pacific Retail Sales, 2010-2017 (US$bn)
- Table: Share Of Regional Retail Sales, 2010-2017 (%)
- Table: Asia Pacific Food Consumption, 2010-2017 (US$bn)
- Key Growth Drivers
- Economic Growth
- Population Growth
- Urbanisation
- Growth In Organised Retail
- Westernisation
- Multinational Investment
- Tourism
- Table: Asia Pacific Macroeconomic Outlook, 2010-2017
Mass Grocery Retail
- Mass Grocery Retail - SWOT
- Industry Forecast
- Table: Food Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Market Overview
- Table: Structure Of China's Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number Of Outlets
- Table: Structure Of China's Mass Grocery Retail Market - Sales By Format (US$bn)
- Table: Structure Of China's Mass Grocery Retail Market - Sales By Format (CNYbn)
- Table: Annual Average Store Sales By Format, 2011
- Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Type, 2012 And 2021
Autos
- SWOT
- Industry Forecast
- Table: China Autos Sector - Production And Sales
- Table: China Autos Sector - Trade
- Market Overview
Consumer Electronics
- SWOT
- Industry Forecast
- Table: Consumer Electronics Overview, 2010-2017, (US$mn)
- Market Overview
Demographic Forecast
- China Demographic Data
- Table: China's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
- Table: China's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
- Table: China's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
- Table: China's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Methodology
- Sources
About Business Monitor International
Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at
www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010
About Fast Market Research
Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.
For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at
www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.
