2012-11-12 12:26:47 - Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Colombia Infrastructure Report Q4 2012", is now available at Fast Market Research

Colombia's underdeveloped infrastructure fleet remains its biggest obstacle to fully exploiting the country's growth potential, which stems from a booming extractive sector. However, the government continues to prioritise investment into the construction sector and President Santos has carried through several structural changes, all of which underpins our strong real growth forecast of 5.4% for 2012. The main reasons for this bullish outlook are: healthy economic growth; a free-trade agreement between Colombia and the United States that was signed on May 15 2012; continuing expansion in the resource extracting sector; the 10-year US$55bn transport infrastructure budget; the creation of a national infrastructure agency; and the passing of a public-private partnership (PPP) law to facilitate procurement and propel infrastructure growth.


Full Report Details

at
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Key trends and developments in Colombia's infrastructure industry include:

* Continued strong backing from the Colombian government underpins our forecasted annual average real growth of just below 6% between 2012 and 2021.
* The infrastructure industry holds significant potential for investors, with real growth of 6.7% forecast for 2012. The residential and non-residential sector will see real growth of 4.3% - a healthy recovery from the 4.9% decline seen in 2010
* Strong economic growth - with real GDP growth of 4.5% forecast for 2012 - and expansion in coal, mining, oil and gas extraction, coupled with a recently signed US free trade agreement are creating significant demand for new capacity and better quality infrastructure. Better access to ports and adequate highways will be essential if the country is to meet the expected increase in exports.
* On the back of some crushing strikes against Colombia's Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (FARC), and now renewed peace talks between the Colombian government and representatives of the FARC, we see a positive security turnaround that could open up vast areas for legitimate investment, and thus spur opportunities within the construction sector. However, our optimism is cautions; the guerrilla movement was still responsible for more than one in four kidnappings in Colombia during 2011, according to the defence ministry. Hence, although the government has partly quelled left wing guerrilla insurgencies so that insecurity no longer represents a systematic threat to the state, therefore promoting investment, the risk of violence persists.

We highlight that corruption remains a risk factor:

* Colombia scores just 3.7 out of 10 for corruption in the country risk section of our infrastructure risk/reward ratings, following several corruption scandals within Columbia's public works sector. This illustrates our concern of the impact on the country's business environment.
* That said, a concerted effort is being made to stamp out corruption in awarding tenders. This has been shown by the creation of infrastructure agency ANI, which has replaced INCO as the official entity in charge of infrastructure concessions. This gives us hope for future improvements.

Partial Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Colombia Infrastructure SWOT
Market Overview
- Competitive Landscape
- Table: EQS Table
Building Materials
- Global
- Regional
- Cement Forecast
- Table: Colombia Cement Production and Consumption Data, 2009 - 2016
- Table: Colombia Cement Production and Consumption Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Colombia Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2009 - 2016
- Table: Colombia Construction And Infrastructure Long-Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021
- Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Transport Infrastructure
- Table: Colombia Transport Infrastructure Industry Data, 2008 - 2016
- Table: Colombia Transport Infrastructure Long-Term Forecasts, 2013 - 2021
- Transport Infrastructure Outlook and Overview
- Major Projects Table - Transport
- Table: Major Projects - Transport
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure
- Table: Colombia Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data, 2008 - 2016
- Table: Colombia Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Long-Term Forecast, 2013 - 2021
- Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Outlook and Overview
- Major Projects Table - Energy And Utilities
- Table: Major Projects - Energy and Utilities
Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure
- Table: Colombia Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data, 2008 - 2016
- Table: Colombia Residential and Non-residential Building Long-Term Forecasts, 2013 - 2021
- Residential/Non-Residential Building Outlook and Overview
Risk/Reward Ratings
- Colombia's Risk/Reward Ratings
- Rewards
- Risks
- Regional Overview
- Latin America Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: Latin America Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
Company Monitor
- Conciviles
- ConConcreto
Global Overview
- Table: BMI Infrastructure Index - YTD Top Performers (%)
- Table: BMI Infrastructure Index - YTD Worst Performers (%)
Methodology
- Industry Forecasts
- Construction Industry
- Data Methodology
- New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors
- Construction
- Capital Investment
- Construction Sector Employment
- Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
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Full Table of Contents is available at:
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Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010

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