2013-09-08 11:24:22 - Recently published research from Timetric, "Construction in South Africa - Key Trends and Opportunities to 2017", is now available at Fast Market Research
The South African construction industry recorded a CAGR of 13.72% during the review period. The construction industry output slowed following the 2010 FIFA World Cup, but has started to recover. Under the National Infrastructure Plan (NIP) that was adopted in 2012, the government will invest ZAR827 billion (US$100.8 billion) in infrastructure development over the forecast period. The country faces a substantial housing deficit and will need government support to develop public housing and drive the residential construction market. The industrial sector, which had benefitted from low wages, now faces labor unrest and will have to focus on increasing productivity to remain competitive. While the large number of projects announced provides hope for the construction industry, corruption, mismanagement and price fixing
threaten to undermine the proper implementation of these developments. Timetric expects the South African construction industry to record a CAGR of 10.87% over the forecast period.
Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/672896_construction_in_south_africa_key_tren ..
* South Africa's real GDP expanded at 2.5% in 2012, lower than the 3.5% recorded in 2011. Private consumption, which accounts for 60% of GDP, moderated from 4.8% in 2011 to 3.5% in 2012 due to rising inflation, which eroded household purchasing power. However, gross fixed capital formation growth accelerated from 4.5% in 2011 to 5.7% in 2012, as business sentiment improved in the second half of 2012. South Africa's GDP growth is expected to moderate further to 1.9% in 2013, due to prevailing unrest in the mining and agricultural sectors, and a weaker export outlook.
* South Africa's construction industry underwent a period of weak performance during the review period as profit margins continued to decline. According to Statistics South Africa, the construction industry's average profit margin plunged from 5% in 2009 to 2.8% in 2011.
* Gauteng generated the most revenue for the construction industry in 2011, followed by the Western Cape. All other provinces increased their share of the total revenue generated.
* While the demand for prime office space remains strong, overall demand for office space has declined. Developers are wary of speculative construction and the majority of projects are based on pre-let contracts. Retail sales growth also slowed over 2012, as consumer confidence dropped to its lowest mark during the review period.
* Retail space development has largely been concentrated on upgrading existing properties, while the development pipeline for larger properties has slowed. Electricity price rises and expected increases in transport costs are likely to impact overall consumer spending. High unemployment rates, rising inflation and a slowdown in real income growth are affecting consumer confidence.
* The country has a well-established and diversified manufacturing base, with agro-processing, automotives, chemicals, ICT, metals, textiles, clothing and footwear as primary industries. In April 2013, the South Africa's Department of Trade and Industry (DTI) announced the fifth edition of the Industrial Policy Action Plan (IPAP), which will focus on promoting stronger growth in the manufacturing sector. IPAP 2013 focuses on supporting high value-add industries such as green industries, agro-processing, metal fabrication, capital and transport equipment. IPAP 2013 should help drive industrial construction growth over the forecast period.
* Under the National Infrastructure Plan (NIP) adopted in 2012, the government will invest ZAR827 billion (US$100.8 billion) in infrastructure development over the forecast period. ZAR430 billion (US$52.4 billion) will come from the government's treasury with the remaining sum coming from state-owned enterprises such as Eskom and Transnet. The funding from state-owned enterprises will be invested in building new power stations, new transmission lines, new rail, ports, water-transport and various airport upgrades.
* Despite an increase in education, budget and enrolment rates, the education system in general suffers from poor infrastructure and inequalities in the quality of education provided to rural and urban, and rich and poor regions. The government has allocated the largest share of its 2013 budget for education to improve infrastructure and increase accessibility.
* The South African government is implementing reforms to restructure the South African health system. The healthcare buildings category is projected to be the fastest-growing institutional construction category over the forecast period.
* South Africa witnessed a housing boom between 2000 and 2006. The housing boom in the country slowed down as the economy slowed, banks tightened lending conditions and the government implemented measures to limit household indebtedness. Low interest rates and government initiatives to increase mortgage uptake is expected to support the residential construction market. While house prices are expected to rise, real house price growth will be moderate, given continual increases in inflation.
* The country presently faces a large affordable housing deficit. Infrastructure bottlenecks in many cities limit the capacity to deliver affordable and subsidized housing."
This report provides a comprehensive analysis of the construction industry in South Africa:
* Historical (2008-2012) and forecast (2013-2017) valuations of the construction market in South Africa using the construction output and value-add methods
* Segmentation by sector (commercial, industrial, infrastructure, institutional and residential) and by project type
Timetric is an independent economic and business research firm providing critical intelligence on emerging economies and key global industries. They provide detailed economic and sector intelligence, business insights and authoritative, independent commentary. View more research from Timetric at www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1037
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