2012-02-03 21:48:58 - Croatia Shipping Report Q1 2012 - a new market research report on companiesandmarkets.com

The Port of Rijeka is set to hold the top position in Croatia´s maritime sector in terms of both total tonnage and container throughput in 2012, after an estimated return to positive growth in total throughput and another year of expansion in box volumes in 2011.

Rijeka has a strong position to build on in 2012, offering Croatia, Hungary, Austria, the southern part of Germany, Czech Republic, Slovakia, the southern part of Poland and the western part of Ukraine a convenient exit to the Adriatic and Mediterranean seas. About 60% of the port´s cargo traffic is generated from trade with Hungary, Austria, Slovakia and the Czech Republic.

Over the mid term we project increasing volumes both at the Port of Rijeka and

 

 

at the Port of Ploce.

Headline Industry Data

- 2012 Port of Rijeka tonnage throughput forecast to grow 1.33%. Over the mid-term we project a 6% increase.
- 2012 Port of Rijeka container throughput forecast to grow 1.68%. Over the mid-term we project a 7% increase.
- 2012 total trade growth forecast at -2.42%.

Key Industry Trends

Bosnian Smelter Back in Control of Port of Ploce Silo: Bosnian aluminium smelter Aluminij (Aluminij d.d. Mostar) has reached an agreement with Luka Ploce (Port of Ploce), the Croatian Port of Ploce´s priority concessionaire. It has resulted in Aluminij regaining control of its alumina silo after 15 years of not being able to use what it always claimed to be its property. Aluminij plans to prepare the silo for the storage of alumina imported from Greece through Glencore International AG.

Risks to Outlook

The base for moderate growth at the country´s ports stems from our moderately positive outlook for the Croatian economy. Container throughput will be driven by the country´s household consumption, which we expect to remain supportive of economic growth in 2012. The country´s real GDP is estimated to increase by 1.0% in 2012.

A downside risk to our forecasts comes from Croatia´s high reliance on export demand and external financing. Our Country Risk team continues to highlight the downside risks that the eurozone debt crisis poses to Croatia´s economic outlook. If eurozone policymakers fail to stem the escalating debt crisis, then Croatia would face severe macroeconomic turbulence which might affect throughput at the country´s ports.

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