"Germany Food & Drink Report Q2 2013" now available at Fast Market Research

2013-03-16 11:20:58 - Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Germany Food & Drink Report Q2 2013", is now available at Fast Market Research

While weak economic data out of Germany supports our below-consensus real GDP growth forecast for 2012, the collapse in business and consumer confidence has prompted us to revise down our 2013 GDP projection, to 0.8% from 1.3%. We expect growth to recover in the second half of the year, although this will be mainly driven by external rather than domestic demand. Certainly, German consumption will not come to the rescue of periphery eurozone states over the next few years, as households remain cautious and the government keeps focused on fiscal consolidation.

Headline Industry Data (local currency)

* 2013 per capita food consumption = +3.1%; forecast to 2017 = +19.8%.
* 2013 alcoholic drink sales = +1.0%; forecast to 2017 = +5.6%.

* 2013 soft drink sales = +3.7%; forecast to 2017 = +21.0%.
* 2013 mass grocery retail sales = +5.9%; forecast to 2017 = +36.6%.

Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/552293_germany_food_drink_report_q2_2013.asp ..

Key Company Trends

Emmi Expanding in Organic Sector: In autumn 2012, Swiss dairy producer Emmi announced the acquisition of a 24% stake in German organic dairy producer Glaserne Molkerei through its existing organic subsidiary Molkerei Biedermann. The firm said the move was designed to allow it to take greater advantage of the growing market for organic products in Germany and across Europe, with a spokesperson highlighting the opportunity in the US and the UK.

Aldi Faces Declining Market Share: It was reported in late 2012 that German discount giant Aldi is facing a challenge in its efforts to persuade domestic consumers to continue accepting its low-cost sales model. Aldi's share of the EUR171bn (US$224bn) German market has declined since 2007, and the company currently trails domestic competitors such as Rewe Group. Aldi has consequently embarked upon a rebranding of its stores, with a newly opened outlet in the German town of Castrop-Rauxel indicative of its future direction. The store, which opened earlier in the year, includes an increased number of branded products - a development that is antithetical to its reputation as a supplier of generic goods.

Key Risks To Outlook

Domestic and External Downsides: We see downside risks to our 2013 growth forecasts coming from domestic and external factors. On the domestic front, uncertainty surrounding policy beyond the 2013 general election could see domestic demand stagnate this year, while the outlook for German exports is clouded by questions over Asian demand and the sustainability of China's economic stimulus. The trajectory of the euro poses another risk to our positive net exports view. We believe that persistent problems with periphery states will keep the currency on the back foot over the next few years, but there is the possibility that as tail risks to the currency union dissipate, the euro stages a relief rally, hurting Germany's terms of trade in the process.

Partial Table of Contents:

BMI Industry View
SWOT
- Food
- Drink
- Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Forecast
- Consumer Outlook
- Food
- Food Consumption
- Table: Table Headertable:headerFood Consumption Indicators - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Confectionery
- Table: Confectionery Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Prepared Food
- Table: Frozen Fruit/Vegetables Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Table: Snack Foods Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Table: Pasta Volume Sales, Production & Trade, Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Dairy
- Table: Dairy Products Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Meat
- Table: Meat Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Fish
- Table: Fish Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Oils & Fats
- Table: Oils & Fats Volume Sales, Production & Trade - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Drink
- Soft Drinks And Bottled Water
- Table: Soft Drink Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Alcoholic Drinks
- Table: Alcoholic Drinks Value/Volume Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Hot Drinks
- Table: Hot Drinks Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Mass Grocery Retail
- Table: MGR Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Trade
- Table: Food & Drink Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
Macroeconomic Forecast
- Economic Outlook
- Table: Germany - Economic Activity
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
- Germany
- Western Europe
- Table: Western Europe Q213 Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: Western Europe Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings Sub-components Q213 (out of 10)
Market Overview
- Food
- Food Production
- Organics
- Dairy
- Drink
- Soft Drinks
- Alcoholic Drinks
- Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Trends And Developments
- Food
- Drink
- Mass Grocery Retail
Competitive Landscape
- Table: Key Players In Germany's Food Sector
- Table: Key Players In Germany's Drink Sector
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Full Table of Contents is available at:
-- www.fastmr.com/catalog/product.aspx?productid=552293&dt=t

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