2013-01-07 06:03:25 -
Fast Market Research recommends "Germany Infrastructure Report Q1 2013" from Business Monitor International, now available
BMI View: Infrastructure development in Germany continues to face structural problems stemming from eurozone realignment. Over the 10-year forecast period low growth is expected to prevail, with annual average growth of 0.84% year-on-year (y-o-y) anticipated between 2012 and 2021. The value of the construction industry will reach US$160.2bn by the end of this period, compared to a forecast of US$132.4bn for 2012, with y-o-y growth of just 1.35%.
Key developments include:
? Germany-based renewable energy developer Juwi concluded the installation of a 20MW photovoltaic plant. The project, based at a former uranium mining site in the state of Thuringia, would provide clean power to approximately 5,600 households. The nuclear age is now a thing of the past and the future belongs to
renewable energy, Thuringia's Minister for Trade and Industry Matthias Machnig said. The decentralised expansion of renewable energy provides great economic potential and enhances the local value chain. ? The opening of the new Berlin-Brandenburg Airport was delayed until October 27 2013. This represents a two-year delay from the originally scheduled date. The EUR4.2bn (US$5.38bn) project will also cost EUR1.2bn (US$1.55bn) more than initially estimated. German airline Air Berlin intends to use the new airport as an international hub. It will have an initial annual handling capacity of 27mn passengers. ? Dutch grid operator TenneT was expected to conclude the sale of its two German projects to link offshore wind farms with the onshore network by end-2012. The operator is holding talks with potential investors regarding future projects. TenneT is required to raise funds to construct new power links as the country now relies more on renewable energy for generating power. The grid operator expects to sign a deal for the sale of minority stakes in the SylWyn1 and DolWyn1 cables in Q412.
Full Report Details at
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www.fastmr.com/prod/523887_germany_infrastructure_report_q1_2013 ..
The political challenges facing Germany over the coming decade are not so much centred around public policy as trying to foster economic growth in east Germany, managing population decline and dealing with the potential implications of further EU integration. Overall, the political risk profile in Germany remains among the best in the world.
On-going retrenchment in demand among euro-area economies and the prospect of a collapse in fixed investment flows in the event of a eurozone 'exit' by a member state threaten the economic outlook. Although a breakup of the single currency bloc is not our core view, we note that in the absence of a decisive resolution to the crisis over the next 12-18 months, investment levels are set to suffer substantially and both consumer and business confidence are likely to remain subdued, hitting domestic demand. We therefore predict a 2012 real GDP growth forecast for Germany below the latest consensus projections.
Partial Table of Contents:
BMI Industry View
SWOT Analysis
- Germany Infrastructure SWOT
Market Overview
- Competitive Landscape
Building Materials
- Europe
- Table: Cement Price / Volume, % Variance (6M11/6M12)
- Cement Forecasts
- Table: Germany Cement Production and Consumption Data, 2009 - 2016
- Table: Germany Cement Production and Consumption Long-Term Forecast, 2014 - 2021
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Germany Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016
- Table: Germany Construction And Infrastructure Long Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Transport Infrastructure
- Table: Germany Transport Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016
- Table: Germany Transport Infrastructure Long Term Forecasts, 2015-2021
- Transport Infrastructure Outlook and Overview
- Major Projects Table - Transport
- Table: Major Projects - Transport
Energy and Utilities Infrastructure
- Table: Germany Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data, 2010-2016
- Table: Germany Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Long Term Forecast, 2015-2021
- Energy and Utilities Infrastructure Outlook and Overview
- Major Projects Table - Energy And Utilities
- Table: Major Projects - Energy And Utilities
Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure
- Table: Germany Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data, 2010-2016
- Table: Germany Residential and Non-residential Building Long Term Forecast, 2015-2021
- Residential/Non-Residential Building Outlook and Overview
- Major Projects Table - Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure
- Table: Major Projects 0 Residential/Non-Residential Construction and Social Infrastructure
Risk/Reward Ratings
- Germany's Risk/Reward Ratings
- Rewards
- Risks
- Regional Overview
- Table: Developed States Infrastructure Risk Reward Ratings
Company Monitor
- Hochtief
- RWE
- Bilfinger Berger
Global Overview
Methodology
- Industry Forecasts
- Construction Industry
- Data Methodology
- New Infrastructure Data Sub-sectors
- Construction
- Capital Investment
- Construction Sector Employment
- Infrastructure Risk/Reward Rating
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Full Table of Contents is available at:
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