2014-04-02 12:27:04 - Iraq Telecommunications Report Q1 2014 - a new market research report on companiesandmarkets.com
The Iraqi mobile sector recorded double-digit growth over the 12 months to September 2013.
This supports our outlook for continued subscriptions growth during our five-year forecast period ending in 2017, driven by network expansion to underserved areas and relatively strong private consumption.
However, we caution that an uptick in sectarian violence in 2013 poses a downside risk to our outlook, as operators are likely to reassess their long-term investment strategies. The allocation of 3G spectrum, expected in H114, may also impact operators´ investment strategies, prompting them to focus on building up advanced data networks in wealthier and more densely populated urban areas rather than pursuing subscriptions growth by extending networks to underserved rural areas. Although growth in the fixed telephony and data
sectors remains stifled, we expect the implementation of various network infrastructure investment plans by the government and national fixed-line operator ITPC to boost growth over the medium-to-long term.
- The mobile market grew by 10.2% year-on-year (y-o-y) in Q313. We forecast the sector to grow by an average of 6.2% annually between 2013 and 2017.
- After relative stability, Zain Iraq and Asiacell have reported a drop in ARPU in 9M13. We expect this trend to continue due to competition and operators´ inability to offer advanced data services.
- Iraq has one of the lowest fixed-line and broadband penetration rates in the region, at 5.6% at the end of 2012, and we do not expect the situation to improve significantly through to 2017. We forecast the penetration rates to reach 5.1% by the end of our forecast period.
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