2012-05-20 13:57:39 - New Defense market report from Business Monitor International: "Brazil Defence & Security Report Q3 2012"

While defence spending in much of the western world may be in the doldrums, Brazil continues to pour investment into its armed forces, albeit at a slower pace than perhaps previously forecast to take account of current economic circumstances.

By far the biggest defence acquisition programme in Brazil is the air force's plans to initially purchase 36 airframes to fulfil the country's F-X Multi-Role Combat Aircraft (MRCA) requirement. However, it is important to note that the size of this acquisition could significantly increase in the future.

With India having selected the Dassault Rafale as the preferred bidder for its own MRCA competition earlier this year, the F-X initiative is significant for one overriding reason: Brazil's purchase will probably represent the last major

MRCA acquisition until the fifth-generation Lockheed Martin F-35 Lightening- II Joint Strike Fighter combat aircraft family becomes available towards the end of this decade. All of the aircraft participating in Brazil's F-X competition are so-called '4.5 generation' aircraft, including designs from the United States, Sweden, France and collaborative efforts encompassing a number of European countries. The favourite aircraft to fulfil the requirement is still considered to be the French Dassault Rafale, although while this aircraft is thought to be favoured by the Brazilian government, the Brazilian air force is thought to favour Sweden's Saab JAS-39 Gripen. A decision on which aircraft will be selected to fulfil the F-X requirement is expected by the middle of this year.


Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/384807_brazil_defence_security_report_q3_201 ..


While the country is purchasing new combat aircraft its main aircraft supplier, Embraer, is keen to enhance its own standing as an exporter of military airframes. Its ambitions in this regard were dealt a blow in February when the firm lost out on a bid to supply light attack single-turboprop aircraft to the United States Air Force, which the service was procuring on behalf of the Afghan air force. The acquisition was cancelled after complaints about the selection process. A new competition is expected soon in which Embraer is expected to participate once again.

Closer to home, the company continues to be an active participant not only in the purchase of new combat aircraft, but also in a number of defence and security programmes around the country. To this end, it is involved in several border surveillance initiatives, and is offering a solution in conjunction with a Brazilian telecommunications company regarding the Brazilian government's plans to acquire a new constellation of military satellites.

The defence procurements currently ongoing in Brazil reflect the country's aspirations to develop its standing as a major regional and global actor. At the diplomatic level, the government has been making overtures to India, and also to countries in Africa and Europe vis-a-vis deepening its strategic relationships. As much as Brazil is seen as one of the world's fastest-growing economies, the country is striking an increasing confident tone as regards its strategic posture.

Report Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Brazil Security SWOT
- Brazil Defence Industry SWOT
- Brazil Political SWOT
- Brazil Economic SWOT
- Brazil Business Environment SWOT
Global Political Outlook
- Major Risks Looming In 2012-2013
- Global Flashpoints: Eurozone, Iran, Syria, Afghanistan, Korean Peninsula
- Table: Election Timetable, Q212-Q113
- Wild Cards To Watch
- Latin America Security Overview
- The Strategic Outlook For The 2010s
Latin America In A Global Context
- Challenges And Threats To Security
- The Role Of Outside Powers
- Key Factors To Consider In The 2010s
Security Risk Analysis
- BMI's Regional Security Ratings
- Table: Latin America Security Ratings
- Table: Latin America State Vulnerability To Terrorism Ratings
- Brazil's Security Risk Ratings
Political Overview
- Long-Term Political Outlook
- Domestic Security Overview
- Internal Security Situation
- Amazon Basin
- Gun Crime And Violence
- Corruption
- External Security Situation
- Table: Regional Insurgent Groups
- Brazil-Colombia
- Brazil-Paraguay
Armed Forces And Government Spending
- Armed Forces
- International Deployments
- Table: Foreign Deployments
- Weapons Of Mass Destruction
Market Overview
- Arms Trade Overview
- Industry Trends And Developments
- Procurement Trends And Developments
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Armed Forces
- Table: Brazil's Armed Forces, 2000-2009 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
- Table: Brazil's Manpower Available For Military Service, 2009-2016 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated)
- Defence Expenditure
- Table: Brazil's Defence Expenditure, 2009-2016
- Table: Brazil's Defence Expenditure - Changing % Of GDP, 2009-2016 (US$mn)
- Defence Exports
- Table: Brazil's Defence Exports, 2009-2016 (US$mn)
- Table: Brazil's Defence Imports, 2009-2016 (US$mn)
- Table: Brazil's Defence Trade Balance, 2009-2016 (US$mn)
- Macroeconomic Outlook
Company Profiles
- AVIBRAS Industria Aerospacial SA
- Embraer
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Defence Industry
- Sources

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