2012-09-02 16:48:44 - Fast Market Research recommends "Indonesia Infrastructure Report Q4 2012" from Business Monitor International, now available

BMI View: We are maintaining our 6.9% growth forecast for Indonesia's construction sector in 2012. Although construction activity in Q112 was a strong 7.8% year-on-year (y-o-y), the reversal in conducive monetary conditions for construction activity and the poor outlook for the global economy will dampen construction activity over the rest of 2012. In addition, we see a real risk that the construction sector fails to realise its long-term growth potential, as there is a growing lack of political will to carry out the regulatory reforms required to unlock private sector investment demand. Taking this into account, we have revised down construction real growth to 7.7% (from a previous forecast of 8.2%) per annum between 2012 and 2021.

The key factors that

will facilitate growth are:


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* In June 2012, Malaysia's state-owned electricity utility Tenaga Nasional (TNB) signed a memorandum of understanding (MoU) with two Indonesian state-owned companies - utility PLN and coal miner Bukit Asam - to develop the necessary infrastructure to sell electricity from Sumatra to Peninsular Malaysia. Under the MoU, the three companies will develop Bukit Asam's mining sites in Peranap, construct a 1,200MW coal-fired power plant near the mining sites in Peranap and a 275kV subsea cable transmission line connecting Sumatra and Peninsular Malaysia. The three companies are developing feasibility studies for the three projects.
* In June 2012, it was announced that Indonesia's transportation ministry is planning to build and relocate 45 airports by 2022 in order to support the rapid development of the country's aviation industry, said the director general of air transportation at the transportation ministry, Herry Bakti S. Gumay. The project's first phase will see the construction of 24 new airports by 2017, with the rest to be ready by 2022. The first phase was initiated in 2011 and the construction of eight airports is already on track. At least IDR200bn (US$21.2mn) is needed to construct one airport, and the transportation ministry has allocated IDR3trn (US$318mn) for infrastructure construction over 2012.
* In July 2012, the Indonesian central government decided to finance the feasibility study for the US$13.9bn Sunda Strait bridge project - a 31km road and railway bridge that connects the two most populous islands in Indonesia, Java and Sumatra. The government had decided to carry out the feasibility because the consortium in charge of the project, Graha Banten Lampung Sejahtera, chose not to carry out the feasibility study after completing a US$60mn prefeasibility study in 2010. The feasibility study carried out by the government will cover construction, funding, legal issues, land availability and developments plans for the areas surrounding the bridge. The study is at the preparation stage, with the project scheduled to enter the construction phase in 2014 and be operational by 2025.

Partial Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Indonesia Infrastructure SWOT
Market Overview
- MFIs Providing Finance And Reform Assistance
- Seeking New Avenues Of Financing
- Regulatory Changes Taking Place
- Industry Trend Analysis
- Launching PPPs
- A Favourite Among Asian Economies
- PE Participation Minimal
- Competitive Landscape
- Table: EQS Data
Building Materials
- Global
- Asia
- Cement Forecasts
- Table: Indonesia Cement Production and Consumption Data, 2009 - 2015
- Table: Indonesia Cement Production and Consumption Data, 2015 - 2021
- Cement Forecast Scenario
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Indonesia Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2008 - 2016
- Table: Indonesia Construction And Infrastructure Long-Term Forecasts, 2013 - 2021
- Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
- Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
Transport Infrastructure
- Table: Indonesia Transport Infrastructure Industry Data, 2008 - 2016
- Table: Indonesia Transport Infrastructure Industry Data, 2013 - 2021
- Transport Infrastructure Outlook and Overview
- Table: Competitiveness Of Indonesia's Infrastructure
- Major Projects Table - Transport
- Table: Major Projects - Transport
Energy And Utilities Infrastructure
- Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Data, 2008 - 2016
- Table: Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Long-Term Forecasts, 2013 - 2021
- Energy And Utilities Infrastructure Outlook and Overview
- Major Projects Table - Energy And Utilities
- Table: Major Projects - Energy And Utilities
Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure
- Table: Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure Data
- Table: Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure Data
- Residential/Non-Residential Building Outlook and Overview
- Major Projects Table - Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure
- Table: Residential/Non-Residential Construction And Social Infrastructure
Risk/Reward Ratings
- Indonesia Risk/Reward Ratings
- Rewards
- Risks
- Regional Overview
- Table: China, India, Indonesia - BMI interest rate views
- Table: Emerging South East Asia - BMI Interest Rate Views

Full Table of Contents is available at:
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