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Just Released: "Venezuela Real Estate Report Q1 2013"

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2013-02-03 16:40:48 - Fast Market Research recommends "Venezuela Real Estate Report Q1 2013" from Business Monitor International, now available

The Venezuela real estate report examines the country's commercial office, retail, industrial and construction sectors in light of the re-election of President Hugo Chavez.

With a focus on the principal cities of Caracas, Maracay and Valencia, the report covers the rental market performance in terms of rates and yields, examining how best to maximise returns in the commercial real estate market, while minimising investment risk and exploring the relatively static supply and demand landscape. In spite of an uptick in construction activity as a direct result of government spending plans pre-election, the long-term outlook for the industry remains unchanged.

However, in spite of several chronic problems inherent to the market - including a lack of investment, public sector dominance and an anticipated

slowdown in economic growth - the commercial real estate sector is not a dearth of bad news. Our latest data collection in July 2012 demonstrated that, while the office sector continues to struggle, the landscape for retail and industrial property remains promising.

Full Report Details at
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Key Points:

* Venezuela's low-income housing programme is providing a considerable boost to construction sector output, and in light of strong H112 data, we have decided to revise up our short-term real growth forecast. However, following the October 2012 elections, we believe much of the momentum will run dry and, given the high fiscal deficit, government spending may have to be reeled in. Therefore, we remain bearish towards Venezuela's construction sector over the medium term.
* We maintain our forecast for a devaluation of the Venezuelan bolivar in 2013 and now see January as the most probable month for it to occur. While an exchange rate adjustment would be too politically damaging in the run up to the country's December 2012 regional elections, Venezuela's sizeable fiscal deficit and substantial depreciatory pressure on the unit suggest that the government is likely to devalue the currency soon after.
* We believe investor confidence in Venezuela's private sector will remain low following the reelection of Chavez, adding pressures to reinforce political ties with allies such as China, Russia and Iran to secure investment. However, given the uncertainty surrounding Chavez's health and the growing unity among the opposition, we cannot rule out a regime change in the coming years. Even in the event of a new government emerging, it would take years to shift away from Chavez's deep-rooted unorthodox policies that continue to overshadow Venezuela's economic outlook.

Report Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Venezuela Real Estate/Construction SWOT
- Venezuela Political SWOT
- Venezuela Economic SWOT
- Venezuela Business Environment SWOT
Real Estate Market Overview
Market Analysis - Office
- Rents And Yields
- Table: Historic Rents - 2011-2012 (US$ per m2/month)
- Table: Net Yield, 2011-2012 (%)
- Table: Terms of Rental Contract/ Leases - H112
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Forecast Rents - (US$ per m2/month)
- Table: Forecast Net Yield, 2010-2017 (%)
Market Analysis - Retail
- Rents And Yields
- Table: Historic Rents - 2011-2012 (US$per m2/month)
- Table: Net Yield, 2011-2012 (%)
- Table: Terms of Rental Contract/ Leases - H112
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Forecast Rents - (US$ per m2/month)
- Table: Forecast Net Yield, 2010-2017 (%)
- Table: Venezuela Retail Sales Indicators, 2009-2016
Market Analysis - Industrial
- Rents And Yields
- Table: Historic Rents - 2011-2012 (US$ per m2/month)
- Table: Net Yield, 2011-2012 (%)
- Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Lease - H112
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Forecast Rents, 2012-2013 (US$ per m2/month)
- Table: Forecast Net Yield, 2010-2017 (%)
Forecast Scenarios
- Infrastructure Report
- Table: Venezuela Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2009-2016
- Table: Venezuela Construction And Infrastructure Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021
- Construction and Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Venezuela - Economic Activity
Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings
- Real Estate/Construction Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings
- Venezuela's Business Environment
- Table: BMI Business And Operation Risk Ratings
- Institutions
- Table: BMI Legal Framework Rating
- Infrastructure
- Table: Labour Force Quality
- Table: Trade And Investment Ratings
- Operational Risk
Competitive Landscape
Company Profiles
- Oriente Entidad de Inversion Colectiva de Inmobiliaria CA
- Otepi
- Tecnoconsult
- Vepica
Demographic Data
- Table: Venezuela's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
- Table: Venezuela's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
- Table: Venezuela's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
- Table: Venezuela's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Construction Industry
- Bank Lending
- Real Estate/Construction Business Environment Rating
- Table: Weighting Of Indicators
- Sources

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at

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