2012-09-04 08:45:44 - New Energy research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research

BMI View: BMI's power service focuses chiefly on thermal sources, hydropower and nuclear electricity, while developments pertinent to the green segment are discussed in depth in our renewables service. Kenya's power sector continues to diversify its energy generation capability. Although hydropower generation remains vulnerable to drought and variations in rainfall, additional hydro facilities are being developed in order to reduce the country's dependence on costly oil-fired capacity. Over the longer term, non-hydrorenewables are to play a much bigger role in the country's energy mix. Most notably, we see geothermal as the favoured form of renewable energy, as its potential is considerable. Coal-based generating schemes are to provide electricity supply over the medium term.


Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/451307_kenya_power_report_q4_2012.aspx


BMI anticipates

that Kenya's overall power generation will grow by an annual average of 8.7% between 2012 to 2021, to reach 16.7TWh. Driving this growth will be a 23.6% annual average increase in nonhydropower renewables. Thermal and hydropower power generation are expected to decline by an annual average of 1.92% and 1.76% respectively over the period. Oil-fired generation is expected to fall by an annual average of 9.2% as hydro increases in availability. We expect coal-fired power to become commercially available from 2015 and beyond.

The key trends and developments in the country's power sector are:

* The World Bank has approved a US$684mn loan for Kenya and Ethiopia. The loan will be used to build a cross border power line. This is the first phase of a US$1.3bn project that covers the development of a regional power grid in East Africa.
* Kenya and Ethiopia have concluded a Power Purchase Agreement (PPA), under which Kenya will import up to 400 megawatts (MW) annually from Ethiopia. The agreement is part of a series of arrangements - including a special status trade pact - aimed at strengthening the socioeconomic ties between the two countries and appears to be underpinned mainly by political motivations. With both countries heavily reliant on hydropower and lacking sufficient capacity to cater for the needs of their populations, Ethiopian imports are unlikely to make a significant difference in times of need.
* Due to the expected rise in net energy generation over the next few years, Kenya's power supply shortfall will eventually ease, with the potential to give the country a net export capability. A gradual decline in the percentage of transmission and distribution losses from an estimated 16.3% in 2011 will help balance the market.

Report Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Kenya Power SWOT
Regional Industry Overview
- Table: Top 5 infrastructure projects globally in 2011
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Kenya Macroeconomic Snapshot
- Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data
- Table Country Snapshot: Power Sector
- Kenya Industry Forecasts
- Electricity Generation And Power Generating Capacity
- Table: Kenya Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2016
- Table: Kenya Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2015 - 2021
- Table: Kenya Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2016
- Table: Kenya Electricity Generating Capacity Long Term Forecasts, 2015 - 2021
- Electricity Consumption
- Table: Kenya Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2016
- Table: Kenya Total Electricity Consumption Long-Term Forecasts, 2015 - 2021
- Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports
- Table: Kenya Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2016
- Table: Kenya Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts, 2015 - 2021
- Table: Kenya Trade Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2016
- Table: Kenya Trade Long Term Forecasts, 2015 - 2021
Key Policies/Market Structure
- Key Projects Database
- Table: Major Projects - Power Plants & Transmission Grids
Regional Risk/Reward Ratings
- MEA Regional Power Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: MEA Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100)
- Kenya's Power Risk/Reward Ratings
- Rewards
- Risks
Competitive Landscape/Company Monitor
- Table: Main Utilities In East Africa
- Table: Main Utilities In Southern Africa (ex. South africa)
Glossary of Terms
- Table: Glossary of Terms
Methodology And Sources
- Industry Forecasts
- Power Industry - Data Methodology
- Generation and Consumption Data
- Electricity Generation Capacity Data
- Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
- Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators
- Sources

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.