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Market Report, "United Kingdom Real Estate Report Q1 2013", published

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2013-02-03 16:24:08 - Fast Market Research recommends "United Kingdom Real Estate Report Q1 2013" from Business Monitor International, now available

This United Kingdom Real Estate report examines the commercial office, retail, industrial and construction segments. With a focus on the principal cities of London, Manchester and Glasgow, the report covers the rental market performance in terms of rates and yields over the past 18 months and examines how best to maximise returns in the commercial real estate market, while minimising investment risk and exploring the impact of a variety of factors weighing heavily on the UK's real estate market.

The commercial sector is under pressure as a result of the country's economic woes, though it has been more stable than expected. Activity in commercial property has been very slow as businesses and landlords watch and wait for signs of economic recovery.

The office space sub-sector is a stable element of the segment, with office space in central London experiencing a healthy run of growth. This now looks to be slowing, but we expect growth to remain positive, as the capital has limited scope for new development and demand has moved faster than new supply. New retail developments (larger shopping malls) and fierce competition for high-end retail space in central London are the key growth areas, with other retail spaces as well as industrial and office spaces showing slower growth rates in the face of broader economic weakness in the UK.

Full Report Details at
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High-end retail in the London market is the clear outperformer in the UK real estate sector as a constant flow of foreign shoppers and tourists support this segment despite weak macroeconomic fundamentals. Outside central London, large shopping centres continue to open across the UK, creating new supply and attracting tenants and footfall, although 'high street' retail will suffer as a result. The office and industrial segments, however, will remain under pressure, despite some high-profile deal making, as a result of weak economic growth, tight credit and job losses in the private and public sectors undercutting demand for new business rental space.

Key Points

* Data for the second quarter suggest that the UK economy is back in recession. However, there is a growing disconnect between the headline GDP data and the relatively more robust service sector and improving employment outlook. Although we are somewhat sceptical about the data, it is clear that the economy is at best treading water and remains extremely vulnerable to external shocks, particularly in the nearby eurozone.
* We remain bearish on the European building materials market as conditions for firms continue to deteriorate in light of ongoing eurozone austerity. The sovereign debt crisis, lower domestic demand from peripheral countries, and tighter financing conditions are constraining our construction outlook for the region, and will continue to limit growth for the foreseeable future. Overcapacity, increasing production costs, and falling sales volumes have hit the bottom lines of producers since 2009, and we see no immediate end to these phenomena. Notable exceptions to this trend are Russia and, to a lesser extent, Turkey and we expect these outperforming markets to sustain high levels of demand over the medium term.

Partial Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- UK Real Estate/Construction Industry SWOT
- UK Political SWOT
- UK Economic SWOT
- UK Business Environment SWOT
Real Estate Market Overview
Real Estate Market Analysis - Office
- Rents And Yields
- Table: Historic Rents, 2011-2012 (EUR/m2 a month)
- Table: Net Yield, 2011-2012 (%)
- Table: Terms of Rental Contract/ Leases - H112
- Supply And Demand
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Forecast Rents, (EUR/m2 a month)
- Table: Forecast Net Yield, 2010-2017 (%)
Real Estate Market Analysis - Retail
- Rents And Yields
- Table: Historic Rents, 2011-2012 (EUR/m2 a month)
- Table: Net Yield, 2011-2012 (%)
- Table: Terms of Rental Contract/Leases - H112
- Supply And Demand
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Forecast Rents, (EUR/m2 a month)
- Table: Forecast Net Yield, 2010-2017 (%)
Real Estate Market Analysis - Industrial
- Rents And Yields
- Table: Historic Rents - 2011-2012 (EUR/m2 a month)
- Table: Net Yield, 2011-2012 (%)
- Table: Terms Of Rental Contract/Leases - H112
- Supply And Demand
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Forecast Rents - (EUR/m2 a month)
- Table: Forecast Net Yield, 2010-2017 (%)
Forecast Scenarios
- Infrastructure Report
- Table: UK Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2009-2016
- Table: UK Construction And Infrastructure Long-Term Forecasts, 2014-2021
- Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: United Kingdom - Economic Activity
Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings
- Real Estate/Construction Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: Real Estate Risk/Reward Ratings
- UK's Business Environment
- Table: BMI Business And Operation Risk Ratings
- Institutions
- Table: BMI Legal Framework Rating
- Infrastructure
- Table: Labour Force Quality
- Market Orientation
- Table: Trade And Investment Ratings
- Table: Top Export Destinations
- Operational Risk
Competitive Landscape
Company Profiles
- A&J Mucklow Group
- British Land
- Hammerson
- Land Securities
Demographic Data
- Table: The United Kingdom's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)

Full Table of Contents is available at:

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Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at

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