2012-11-14 20:44:55 - Mauritius Business Forecast Report Q3 2012 - a new country guide report on companiesandmarkets.com
We believe that given the difficulties facing key markets for Mauritian goods and services, most notably the eurozone, growth will be rather subdued in 2012, coming in at 3.8%, but will gradually accelerate in subsequent years. Investment, both private and public, will help to support the economy and balance of payments position, as investors will be attracted by Mauritius´s competitive business environment and reputation for stability.
Major Forecast Changes
Newly available data from Q411 have shown sluggishness in the export sector and rising imports; we therefore believe that the current account shortfall will be significantly wider than previously expected. We have adjusted our 2012 and 2013 current account deficit forecasts to 13.4% and 11.8% of GDP respectively, compared with previous projections
of 8.4% and 7.2%.
Risks To Outlook
Given its high exposure to global markets, the outlooks for European and Asian economies pose both upside and downside risks to our outlook for Mauritius should those countries grow more quickly or more slowly than we currently expect.
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