2014-01-05 21:07:34 - Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Netherlands Business Forecast Report Q1 2014", is now available at Fast Market Research
We expect the economy to post positive growth in 2014, but with the eurozone recovery stumbling in recent quarters, we now expect a more modest outturn for Dutch GDP.
With unemployment rising and the fiscal deficit widening, the government will continue to suffer in the polls.
Major Forecast Changes
We have revised down our 2014 real GDP growth forecast to 0.5% from 1.1% previously
Key Risks To Outlook
Should the eurozone sovereign debt crisis take a turn for the worse in the coming quarters, we would expect a more pronounced contraction in GDP than currently expected.
Report Table of Contents:
Major Forecast changes
Key risks to outlook
chapter 1: political outlook
political risk ratings
Banking reforms taking some of the sting out of austerity
- The Dutch government remains firmly committed to fiscal reform, despite losing its triple-A credit rating and suffering at the hands of a flatlining economy. Providing some respite for voters (and by extension support for the government), the coalition has been clamping down hard on excesses in the banking industry, with planned curbs on bonuses and a potential rebate to taxpayers from the sale of US mortgage bonds acquired through the previous bailout of ING going some way to soften the blow of austerity.
taBle: Political overview taBle
chapter 2: economic outlook
BMi economic risk ratings
signs of a turnaround Just as the eurozone recovery stumbles
- The Dutch economy finally appeared to break out of recession during the third quarter, just as the eurozone recovery has shown signs of faltering. With domestic demand hit by falling house prices and a lack of appetite for fixed investment, the strength of global demand will be key to safeguarding the domestic recovery given the Netherlands' substantial current account surplus. We stress, however, that a continued deterioration in eurozone demand or insufficient monetary easing from the ECB pose key risks to our forecasts heading into 2014.
taBle: economic activity
taBle: lonG-term macroeconomic forecasts
chapter 3: Business environment
BMi Business environment risk ratings
chapter 4: Key sectors
taBle: road freiGht
taBle: inland waterway freiGht
taBle: rail freiGht
taBle: air freiGht
taBle: maritime freiGht
taBle: total electricity Generation data and forecasts, 2011-2016
taBle: total electricity Generation lonG-term forecasts, 2017-2022
taBle: electricity Generatin G caPacity lonG-term forecasts 2017-2022
taBle: electricity Generatin G caPacity data and forecasts, 2011-2016
other Key sectors
taBle: Pharma sector Key indicators
taBles : telecoms sector Key indicators
taBle: infrastructure sector Key indicators
taBle: food and drinK sector Key indicators
taBle: autos sector Key indicators
chapter 5: BMi Global assumptions
Mixed Q313 Data, But outlook Has not changed
taBle: Glo Bal assum Ptions
taBle: develoPed states, real G dP Growt h, %
taBle: Bmi versus B loom BerG consensus real GdP G rowth forecasts, %
taBle: emerGinG marKets, real G dP Growth, %
Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/759036_netherlands_business_forecast_report_ ..
About Business Monitor International
Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010
About Fast Market Research
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