2012-10-28 15:23:27 - Fast Market Research recommends "Argentina Retail Report Q4 2012" from Business Monitor International, now available

The Argentine Retail Report examines the long-term potential of the local consumer market, but flags short-term concerns about the impact on Argentina's economic outlook of moderating commodity prices and a deterioration in domestic demand.

The report examines how best to maximise returns in the Argentine retail market while minimising investment risk, and also explores the impact of deteriorating relations between Argentina and its key trade partners on the Argentine consumer and on the ability of producers and exporters to realise returns in the short term.

The report also analyses the growth and risk management strategies being employed by the leading players in the Argentine retail sector, as they seek to maximise the growth opportunities offered by the local market.

Argentine per-capita consumer spending

is forecast to increase by 25% to 2016, compared with a regional growth average of 17%. The country comes last in BMI's Latin American Retail Risk/Reward Ratings, although it performs slightly better for Risk.


Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/479351_argentina_retail_report_q4_2012.aspx


Among all retail categories, consumer electronics will be the outperformer through to 2016 in growth terms, with sales forecast to increase by nearly 26% between 2012 and 2016 - from US$5.77bn to US$7.25bn. PC penetration is fairly low at about 25%, and this is expected to climb to more than 30% by 2016, creating opportunities for vendors.

The Conectar Igualdad programme to provide 3mn PCs to public schools nationwide should provide opportunities for manufacturers and retailers alike.

Over the last quarter, BMI has revised the following forecasts and views:

* BMI has revised down its 2012 forecast for Argentina's real GDP growth to 4.0%, from 5.3% previously. We believe that the protectionist policies recently implemented by President Cristina Fernandez's administration will have a negative impact on private consumption, fixed investment and export growth, acting as a drag on the economy.
* BMI expects private consumption to contribute only 2.6 percentage points (pp) to real GDP growth in 2012. The import-substitution policies implemented by President Fernandez are likely to result in empty shelves at supermarkets and stores rather than in a boost of domestic production, dragging down consumer spending. Moreover, the ongoing decline in industrial production is likely to result in higher unemployment and, in turn, lower consumption.
* Retail sales in Argentina rose less than expected in July 2012. Sales increased by a seasonally adjusted 15.2%, down from a revised 29.1% in June. Analysts had expected a rise of 19.8% in July.

Partial Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Argentina Retail Business Environment SWOT
- Argentina Political SWOT
- Argentina Economic SWOT
- Argentina Business Environment SWOT
Market Overview
- Current Trends
- Key Players
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Retail Growth Outlook
- Table: Retail Sales Indicators, 2009-2016
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Economic Activity
- Regional Retail Outlook
- Table: Latin America Retail Trends, 2009-2016
- Table: Latin American Retail Sales, 2009-2016 (US$bn)
- Table: Latin American Countries, % Of Retail Sales, 2009-2016
- Table: Latin American Food Consumption, 2009-2016 (US$bn)
- Table: Latin American Mass Grocery Retail, 2009-2016 (US$bn)
- Regional Retail Trends
- Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: Latin America Retail Business Environment Ratings
Consumer Electronics
- Argentina Consumer Electronics Market SWOT
- Market Overview
- Computers
- Table: PC Sales, 2009-2016
- AV Devices
- Table: AV Sales, 2009-2016
- Mobile Handsets
- Table: Mobile Communications, 2009-2016
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Consumer Electronics Market
- Table: Consumer Electronics Overview, 2009-2016
- Industry Developments
Automotives
- Argentina Autos Industry SWOT
- Regional Production Rivals
- Exports
- Supply Chain
- Domestic Sales
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Domestic Sales
- Table: Argentina Autos Sales, 2009-2016
- Table: Argentina Autos Production, 2009-2016
- Trade
- Table: Argentina Autos Trade, 2009-2016
- Economic Contribution
- Table: Argentina Autos Sector Economic Contribution
- Industry News
- Competitive Landscape
- Table: Vehicle Production, 2010-2011
- Table: Vehicle Sales (units), 2010-2011
- Passenger Vehicles - Forecast & Analysis
- Table: Passenger Car Segment, 2009-2016
- Key Players
- Table: Passenger Car Production By Manufacturer (Units), 2010-2011
- Table: Passenger Car Sales By Manufacturer (Units), 2010- 2011
- New Investments
- Commercial Vehicles - Forecast & Analysis
- Table: Commercial Vehicle Segment, 2009-2016
- Light Commercial Vehicles
- Table: Light Commercial Vehicle Sales By Manufacturer (Units), 2010-2011
- Table: Light Commercial Vehicle Production By Manufacturer (Units), 2010-2011
- Heavy Commercial Vehicles
- Table: Heavy Commercial Vehicle Sales By Manufacturer (Units), 2010-2011
- Table: Heavy Commercial Vehicle Production By Manufacturer, 2002-2010 (CBUs)
- Buses
- Table: Argentina Bus Sales By Manufacturer, 2007-2011
- Table: Argentina Bus Production By Manufacturer, 2002-201 (CBUs)
- New Investments
- Table: Argentine Fleet Renovation Plan
- Motorcycles Analysis
- Table: Argentine Motorcycle Demand Structure (2009)
- Suppliers
- Sector News
- Company Developments
OTC Pharmaceuticals
- Argentina Pharmaceuticals And Healthcare Industry SWOT
- Market Overview
- Regulatory Regime
- OTC Regulation
- Intellectual Property Environment
- IP Disputes
- Counterfeit Pharmaceuticals
- Pricing Regime
- Table: Pharmaceutical Price Build-Up
- Table: Drug Price Freeze, 2005-2008

Full Table of Contents is available at:
-- www.fastmr.com/catalog/product.aspx?productid=479351&dt=t

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