2013-09-20 09:10:40 - New Defense market report from Business Monitor International: "Israel Defence & Security Report Q4 2013"
BMI's Q4 Israel Defence & Security report examines recent defence and procurement developments. A number of recent events have occurred which will affect these.
Israel's domestic and regional security situation remains volatile. The last quarter has seen a serious worsening of the civil war in nearby Syria. US-sponsored peace talks with the Palestinians are ongoing, but with both sides remaining tight-lipped on their progress. There is still the possibility of confrontation with Iran, and it is unclear if pro-peace centrists will be able to influence the government's hawkish stance on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.
Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/684728_israel_defence_security_report_q4_201 ..
Although Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu was re-elected in January, his party was somewhat weakened and he was forced to forge a coalition with
other parties. Despite the fact that these pro-cut factions are likely to influence the economy, and reduce the deficit, which will be good for domestic political stability, they are unlikely to have much impact on Netanyahu's anti-Iranian stance. BMI believes that the prime minister is likely to continue to advocate curbing Iran's nuclear programme, and we think that a war between Iran and Israel is increasingly likely. We see Iran as the biggest threat to Israel.
The report's general conclusion is that Israel must soon take the critical decision about whether to conduct air strikes against Iran's nuclear facilities. However, red lines have become a point of tension between Washington and Tel Aviv, with the Obama administration refusing to accede to Israeli demands that it spell out its red lines on the Iranian nuclear initiative. The US government merely reiterated its position that it would not permit Iran to go nuclear, and pointed strongly to the fact that it thinks sanctions - which are now causing severe damage to the Iranian economy - should be given more time.
The July 2013 removal of Egypt's leader, Mohamed Morsi, does not bode well for the Israeli-Egyptian peace treaty. It remains to be seen how Israel-Egypt relations will thus develop in the immediate future. We do not think that Egypt will risk losing US funding and military aid by openly confronting Israel. However, the emergence of a jihadist threat in Sinai led Israel to give the green light for Egyptian military operations on the Peninsula - even though such activity is not usually permitted by the two countries' peace treaty. At the same time, although Jordan is nominally at peace with Israel, its king is likely to have to give up some powers to parliament and the new prime minister might well discard the country's peace treaty with Israel. Overall, both regionally and internationally, Israel is becoming increasingly isolated.
Report Table of Contents:
BMI Industry View
- Israel Defence SWOT
- Israel Security SWOT
- Business Environment
- Defence Expenditure
- Table: Defence Expenditure
- Table: Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2017 (US$mn)
- Armed Forces
- Table: Armed Forces ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
- Table: Manpower Available For Military Service, 2010-2017 (aged 16-49 unless otherwise stated)
- Defence Trade
- Table: Defence Exports (US$mn)
- Macroeconomic Forecast
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
- MENA Risk Reward Ratings
- Table: Middle East And Africa Regional Security Ratings
- Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
- Israel Security Risk Ratings
- Israel Defence Market Overview
- Armed Forces and Government Spending
- Industry Trends and Developments
- Weapons of Mass Destruction
- Arms Trade Overview
- Israel Security Overview
- Domestic Threats
- Regional Threats
- International Threats
- Elbit Systems
- Elisra Group
- General Dynamics
- Israel Military Industries
- Rafael Advanced Defense Systems Ltd
- Middle East and Africa Security Overview
Global Industry Overview
- Global Political Outlook
- Defence Industry
About Business Monitor International
Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010
About Fast Market Research
Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.
For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at www.fastmr.com
or call us at 1.800.844.8156.