2013-01-31 09:01:45 - New Retailing market report from Business Monitor International: "Malaysia Retail Report Q1 2013"

The Malaysian Retail Report examines the long-term potential of the local consumer market, but flags short-term concerns about the impact on Malaysia's economic outlook of negative wealth effects.

The report examines how best to maximise returns in the Malaysian retail market while minimising investment risk, and also explores the impact of a hard landing in the Chinese economy on the Malaysian consumer as well as on the ability of producers and exporters to realise returns in the short term.

The report also analyses the growth and risk management strategies being employed by the leading players in the Malaysian retail sector, as they seek to maximise the growth opportunities offered by the local market.


Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/529436_malaysia_retail_report_q1_2013.aspx


Malaysia comes third (out

of seven) in BMI's Asia retail risk/reward ratings, although it outperforms slightly for risk.

Among all retail categories, Mass Grocery Retail (MGR) will be the outperformer through to 2017 in growth terms, with sales forecast to increase by 40.1% between 2013 and 2017, from US$15.06bn to US$21.11bn as a growing affluent middle- and upper-income consumer base embraces the concept.

In the competitive arena, BMI sees upside potential in the potential easing of hypermarket regulations. Over the last quarter, BMI has revised the following forecasts/views:

* We continue to expect the consensus estimate on Malaysia's real GDP growth for this year - which presently stands at 4.1% - to move closer to our core view for a more subdued growth rate of 3.3%. The disappointing reading of China's purchasing managers' index has reinforced our core view for a hard landing in the Chinese economy, which in turn, compels us to maintain a bearish outlook on Malaysian exports.
* Households are expected to cut back aggressively on spending over the coming months as new loan guidelines implemented by Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) to tighten consumer lending in January 2012 come into effect. Our view that property prices in Malaysia could cool in 2013 also suggests that negative wealth effects could weigh on private consumption growth over the coming quarters. Growth in consumer goods imports slowed for the fourth consecutive month, from 33.1% y-o-y in September 2011 to 19.9% in December 2011, and growth in outstanding credit card balances has also remained on a steady downtrend since January 2011. We expect this trend to continue.

Report Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Malaysia Retail Business Environment SWOT
- Malaysia Political SWOT
- Malaysia Economic SWOT
Market Overview
- Key Players
- Current Trends
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Consumer Outlook
- Retail Growth Outlook
- Table: Malaysia Retail Sales Indicators, 2010-2017
- Table: Retail Sales Breakdown By Key Segment, 2013f
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Malaysia - Economic Activity, 2011-2016
Regional Retail Outlook
- Asia Pacific Retail Outlook
- Table: Asia Pacific Retail Sales, 2010-2017 (US$bn)
- Table: Share Of Regional Retail Sales, 2010-2017 (%)
- Table: Asia Pacific Food Consumption, 2010-2017 (US$bn)
- Table: Asia Pacific Macroeconomic Outlook, 2010-2017
Risk/Reward Ratings
- Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: Regional Retail Business Environment Ratings
- Malaysia's Retail Rating
- Limits To Potential Returns
- Risks To Realisation Of Returns
Mass Grocery Retail
- Malaysia Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
- Market Overview
- Table: Structure Of Malaysia's MGR Market - Estimated Number Of Outlets, 2005-2011
- Table: Structure Of Malaysia's MGR Market - Sales By Format, 2005-2011 (US$bn)
- Table: Structure Of Malaysia's MGR Market - Sales By Format, 2005-2011 (MYRbn)
- Table: Average Sales Per Outlet by Forma, 2011
- Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Type, 2012 And 2021 (%)
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: MGR Sales By Format, 2010-2016
- Industry Developments
Consumer Electronics
- Malaysia Consumer Electronics Market SWOT
- Malaysia Electronics Industry SWOT
- Market Overview
- Computers
- Table: Computers Sales, 2009-2016
- AV
- Table: AV: Sales, 2009-2016
- Mobile Handsets
- Table: Mobile Communications, 2009-2016
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Consumer Electronics Overview, 2009-2016
- Industry Developments
- Government Authority
Automotives
- Malaysia Autos SWOT
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Production
- Table: Malaysia Autos Production
- Sales
- Table: Malaysia Autos Sales Forecast 2010-2016
- Trade
- Table: Malaysia Autos Trade, 2010-2016
- Passenger Cars
- Table: Malaysia - Passenger Car Sales By Model 2011
Demographic Data
- Table: Malaysia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
- Table: Malaysia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
- Table: Malaysia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
- Table: Malaysia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Sources

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Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010

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