2012-10-28 15:15:15 -
Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Bahrain Retail Report Q4 2012", is now available at Fast Market Research
The Bahrain Retail Report examines the long-term potential of the local consumer market, but flags shortterm concerns about the impact on Bahrain's economic outlook of the ongoing political crisis.
The report examines how best to maximise returns in the Bahrain retail market while minimising investment risk, and also explores the impact of a possible prolonged downturn in hydrocarbon prices on the Bahraini consumer and on the ability of producers and exporters to realise returns in the short term. The report also analyses the growth and risk management strategies being employed by the leading players in the Bahrain retail sector, as they seek to maximise the growth opportunities offered by the local market.
Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/479378_bahrain_retail_report_q4_2012.aspx
Bahrain per capita consumer
spending is forecast to increase by 32.0% through to 2016, compared with a regional growth average of only 2.3%. The country comes sixth out of seven in BMI's Middle East and Africa Retail Risk/Reward Ratings, although it outperforms significantly for Risk.
Among all retail categories, mass grocery retail will be the outperformer through to 2016 in growth terms, with sales forecast to increase by nearly 47% between 2012 and 2016, from US$1.12bn to US$1.65bn, as demand for packaged and convenience foods continues to pick up on the back of busier lifestyles and more Westernised eating habits.
In the competitive arena, BMI sees upside potential in Bahrain's business-friendly regulatory environment, which has succeeded in attracting a number of multinational food companies.
Over the last quarter, BMI has revised the following forecasts/views:
* BMI forecasts real GDP expanding 2.9% in 2012, following an estimated 1.9% in 2011. The economy's medium-term outlook remains dependent on the trajectory of the political crisis, with a failure to find a lasting solution likely to undermine growth through 2016.
* BMI continues to hold a relatively bullish outlook on household consumption. Although timely data out of the country are relatively sparse, previously announced hikes to public-sector salaries are likely to be feeding through to the wider economy. Indeed, local reports have indicated that growth in car sales was well into double digits through the first five months of 2012. With banking-sector credit growth hitting three-year highs in H112, we expect private consumption to remain well supported in the near term.
Report Table of Contents:
SWOT Analysis
- Bahrain Retail Business Environment SWOT
- Bahrain Political SWOT
- Bahrain Economic SWOT
- Bahrain Business Environment SWOT
Market Overview
- Current Trends
- Key Players
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Consumer Outlook
- Retail Growth Outlook
- Table: Retail Sales Indicators, 2009-2016
- Table: Retail Sales Breakdown By Key Segment, 2012f
Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: GDP By Expenditure, Current Prices Breakdown
Regional Retail Outlook
- Table: Middle East And Africa Retail Trends, 2009-2016
- Table: Middle East And Africa Regional Retail Sales, 2009-2016 (US$bn)
- Table: Share Of Regional Retail Sales, 2009-2016 (%)
- Current Trends
Risk/Reward Ratings
- Middle East And Africa Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: Regional Retail Risk/Reward Ratings
- Bahrain's Retail Rating
- Limits To Potential Returns
- Risks To Realisation Of Returns
Mass Grocery Retail
- Bahrain Mass Grocery Retail SWOT
- Market Overview
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: MGR Sales, 2009-2016
- Industry Developments
- Table: MGR Sales, 2009-2016
Consumer Electronics
- Bahrain Consumer Electronics Market SWOT
- Market Overview
- Computers
- Table: PC Sales, 2009-2016
- AV
- Table: AV Sales, 2009-2016
- Mobile Handsets
- Table: Mobile Communications, 2009-2016
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Consumer Electronics Overview, 2009-2016
- Government Initiatives
Automotives
- Bahrain Auto Industry SWOT
- Market Overview
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Autos Sales, 2009-2016
- Industry Developments
- Table: Bahrain Autos Sector - Key Players
Demographic Outlook
- Table: Bahrain's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
- Table: Bahrain's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
- Table: Bahrain's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
- Table: Bahrain's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Sources
About Business Monitor International
Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at
www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010
About Fast Market Research
Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.
For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at
www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.
