2013-02-03 16:37:29 - Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Venezuela Consumer Electronics Report Q1 2013", is now available at Fast Market Research
BMI expects the Venezuelan consumer electronics market to have grown by around 8% in 2012, but the precarious economic environment will inhibit IT investment. BMI has upwardly revised our market forecast after stronger-than-expected credit fuelled private consumption growth in 2012. A 'notebooks for schools' programme, and the acceleration of Venezuela's programme for digital broadcasting migration, will also provide a boost to consumer electronics spending over the next few years. However, economic uncertainty following the re-election of President Chavez and the possibility of another devaluation of the Bolivar, most likely after the elections, clouds the market outlook. Despite challenging trading environment, BMI expects an expanding population, rising disposable income and easier access to consumer credit to have positive effects on Venezuela's
consumer electronics sales over the long term.
Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/529534_venezuela_consumer_electronics_report ..
Computer hardware sales: US$1.3bn in 2012 to US$1.2bn in 2013, -8% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar terms downwardly revised due to macroeconomic factors. Given a difficult trading context, the main long-term sales driver is greater affordability, partly as a result of cheap computer programmes, while the PCs for schools programmes is another market driver.
AV sales: US$1.0bn in 2012 to US$1. 2bn in 2013, +9% in US dollar terms. Forecast in US dollar terms unchanged, but Venezuela's digital migration should drive demand for flat-screen TV sets. Risk/Reward Rating: Venezuela's score was 37.3 out of 100.0. Low Country Risk and Market Risk scores of 28.2 and 35.0 exacerbated the effect of relatively low Potential Returns. Venezuela took last place in our latest Americas Consumer Electronics Business Environment Ratings table, but if there was a change in the country's policy mix after the 2012 elections - not our core scenario - the country's ranking would have the potential to increase over time.
Key Trends & Developments
* Venezuelan computer shipments should record positive growth over our five-year forecast period, due partly to the government's affordable computer programmes, computers for education and more local production of inexpensive computers. Around 500,000 notebooks were expected to be procured for schools in 2012, as the government's Va a mi Casa digital classrooms programme is expanded to secondary schools.
* 2012 was a significant year, as it marked the launch of the government's plans to complete implementation of digital TV. The government launched digital TV pilots in five cities in 2011 and has now set a new target of 50% terrestrial digital television coverage by the end of 2012. Sales of flat-screen sets will be an area of opportunity as consumers upgrade their old models to digital. In March 2012, Venezuela announced that it would purchase 300,000 digital TV boxes and 12 DTT transmitters from Argentina.
* Venezuela has a reputation for being one of the more promising markets for smartphones in the region. Regional telecoms giant Telefonica has said that 70% of its regional BlackBerry sales were in the Venezuelan market. Operator promotions are a key driver as they look to attract high-end subscribers and boost data revenue. The launch by mobile operator Claro of a pre-paid SIM card for Android services helped to expand the market in the high-end phone segment.
Report Table of Contents:
- Venezuela Consumer Electronics Market SWOT
- Venezuela Political SWOT
- Venezuela Economic SWOT
- Venezuela Business Environment SWOT
Americas Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: Latin America Risk/Reward Ratings
Consumer Electronics Market
- Table: PC Sales, 2010-2017
- AV Devices
- Table: AV Sales, 2010-2017
- Mobile Handsets
- Table: Mobile Communications, 2010-2017
Consumer Electronics Industry
- Retail And Distribution
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Consumer Electronics Market
- Table: Consumer Electronics Overview, 2010-2017
- Table: Venezuela - Economic Activity, 2011-2016
- Venezuela de Industria Tecnologica (VIT)
- Table: Venezuela's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
- Table: Venezuela's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
- Table: Venezuela's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
- Table: Venezuela's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Electronics Industry
About Business Monitor International
Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010
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