2012-10-26 05:53:59 - Fast Market Research recommends "Czech Republic Retail Report Q4 2012" from Business Monitor International, now available

The Czech Republic Retail Report examines the long-term potential of the local consumer market, but flags short-term concerns about the impact on the country's economic outlook of high unemployment and ongoing fiscal austerity.

The report examines how best to maximise returns in the Czech retail market while minimising investment risk, and also explores the impact of the increasingly precarious looking eurozone macroeconomic environment on the Czech consumer and on the ability of producers and exporters to realise returns in the short term.

The report also analyses the growth and risk management strategies being employed by the leading players in the Czech retail sector, as they seek to maximise the growth opportunities offered by the local market.


Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/479417_czech_republic_retail_report_q4_2012. ..


Czech

per capita consumer spending is forecast to increase by a modest 10% to 2016, compared with a regional growth average of 44%. The country comes second (out of 10) in BMI's Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) Retail Risk/Reward Ratings, and notably outperforms for Risk.

Among all retail categories, mass grocery retail (MGR) will be the outperformer through to 2016 in growth terms, with BMI forecasting sales to expand by almost 19%, from US$15.57bn in 2012 to US$18.48bn by 2016. Through to 2016, we expect the proportional contribution of supermarkets and hypermarkets to remain dominant, with premiumisation momentum expected to pick up in line with the pre-crisis trend.

In the competitive arena, BMI sees upside potential in the fact that the Czech Republic, which joined the EU in May 2004, has a reasonably open economy compared with some neighbouring CEE markets, and some companies from outside the region continue to transfer parts of their business to the Czech Republic to reduce costs and take advantage of the domestic market.

Over the last quarter, BMI has revised the following forecasts/views:

* BMI is holding to its forecast for the Czech Republic to avoid a full-year recession in 2012, and forecasts economic growth of 0.1% before recovering to 1.3% in 2013. A combination of fiscal austerity and uncertainty surrounding the future of the eurozone, to which the Czech Republic is heftily exposed, will mean government consumption, household consumption and investment spending pose net drags on growth this year.
* Data released by the Czech Statistics Office (CZSO) show that household consumption contracted for the fifth quarter running in Q112 at -2.9% y-o-y, following a 0.7% drop in Q411. This translated to a net drag on growth tantamount to 1.3 percentage points (pp). BMI expects that Czech consumer spending will fall by 3.2% in 2012, posing a 1.5pp drag on economic growth.
* The weak situation of the consumer can be seen in retail trade data released by the CZSO, which show that working day-adjusted retail sales dropped by 4.1% y-o-y in April 2012, a 2.1% monthly contraction. With consumer sentiment firmly in negative territory and heading lower, BMI expects retail trade to head deeper into the red in 2012.

Partial Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Czech Republic Retail Business Environment SWOT
- Czech Republic Political SWOT
- Czech Republic Economic SWOT
Market Overview
- Current Trends
- Key Players
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Consumer Outlook
- Retail Growth Outlook
- Table: Czech Republic Retail Sales Indicators, 2009-2016
- Table: Retail Sales By Segment, 2012f
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Czech Republic - Economic Activity
Regional Retail Outlook
- Central And Eastern Europe Retail Outlook
- Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Trends, 2008-2016
- Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Sales, 2009-2016 (US$bn, unless stated)
- Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Sales By % Share, 2009-2016
- Regional Retail Trends
Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: Central And Eastern Europe Retail Risk/Reward Ratings
- Czech Republic's Retail Rating
- Limits To Potential Returns
- Risks To Realisation Of Returns
Mass Grocery Retail
- Czech Republic Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
- Market Overview
- Leading Retailers
- Table: Structure Of The MGR Market By Number Of Outlets, 2004-2011
- Table: Sales Breakdown By Retail Format Type, 2011 And 2021 (% of total)
- Table: Structure Of The MGR Market By Value, 2004-2011
- Table: Value Sales Per Outlet, 2011e
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: MGR Sales, 2009-2016
- Industry Developments
Consumer Electronics
- Czech Republic Consumer Electronics Market SWOT
- Market Overview
- Table: Top Four Czech Electronics Retailers, Revenue 2008-2009 (CZKbn)
- Computers
- Table: PC Sales
- AV
- Table: AV Sales
- Table: Analogue vs Digital TV Subscribers
- Mobile Handsets
- Table: Mobile Communications
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Consumer Electronics Market
- Table: Consumer Electronics Overview
- Industry Developments
Automotives
- Czech Republic Autos Industry SWOT
- Market Overview
- Table: Czech Republic Top 15 Key Players - Passenger Cars 2011
- Table: Czech Republic Top 15 Key Players - Passenger Cars Jan-Apr
- Industry Forecast Scenario
- Table: Czech Autos Production
- Table: Czech Autos Sales
Czech Republic Demographic Data
-

Full Table of Contents is available at:
-- www.fastmr.com/catalog/product.aspx?productid=479417&dt=t

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.