2013-01-08 16:42:23 - Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Czech Republic Freight Transport Report Q1 2013", is now available at Fast Market Research
Following a year (2012) in which BMI saw growth slowing, or even being negative, in some freight modes, we are forecasting 2013 to signal a return to growth in two freight modes and its acceleration in two others.
Total trade is projected to continue picking up with our Country Risk desk forecasting a year-on-year (yo- y) increase of 2.82% in 2013 following a growth of 8.55% in 2012.
Road freight should continue to dominate the sector, even after a projected decline of 1.1% y-o-y in 2012. The decline is evidence that the sector did not manage to defy the downturn. It also shows that the sector has been unable to defy EU pledges of a decrease in road haulage across the region.
BMI notes that rail is the likeliest candidate in the Czech Republic's freight transport mix to benefit from any diversification away from road.
Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/523884_czech_republic_freight_transport_repo ..
Headline Industry Data
?? 2013 Air freight tonnage is expected to grow by 1.2% ?? 2013 Rail freight is forecast to grow by 2.4% ?? 2013 Road freight is forecast to grow by 1.5% ?? 2013 Inland waterway freight is forecast to grow by 4.9% ?? 2013 Total real trade growth is forecast at 2.8%
Key Industry Trends
State Aid Approved for Czech Airlines
Czech Airlines Cargo's parent company, national carrier Czech Airlines (CSA), increased flight frequencies to a number of destinations during the winter season after the European authority gave the green light to state help. The European Commission decided to finally give its approval for CZK2.5bn (EUR100mn) of state aid to Czech Airlines to finance its restructuring.
DB Schenker Gets Highest Level AEO Certificate in the Czech Republic
DB Schenker Czech Republic has achieved the highest level AEO certificate. The Customs Administration of the Czech Republic granted the company the AEO Certificate 'Customs simplifications/Security' (AEO F).
Risks to Outlook
A longer and more pronounced slowdown in eurozone growth than BMI currently forecasts, creates considerable downside risks to our forecasts for Czech Republic's freight transport growth. The country and the sector rely heavily on the external market for growth, particularly while government expenditure is dragged down by fiscal austerity and as consumers struggle to bounce back from the global recession.
BMI's country risk team has so far downgraded our 2013 real GDP growth forecast for Czech Republic to 0.8% from 1.3% previously. The country's reliance on trade and investment with Germany will filter down from slackening export demand to decreasing the Czech Republic's demand for imports, in turn affecting country's freight transport outlook.
Report Table of Contents:
BMI Industry View
- Czech Republic Freight Transport SWOT
- Czech Republic Political SWOT
- Czech Republic Economic SWOT
- Czech Republic Business Environment SWOT
Industry Trends And Developments
- Intermodal and Logistics
- Table: Air Freight, 2010-2017
- Table: Rail Freight, 2010-2017
- Table: Road Freight, 2010-2017
- Inland Waterway
- Table: Inland Waterway Freight, 2010-2017
- Table: Trade Overview, 2010-2017
- Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2010-2017
- Table: The Czech Republic's Main Import Partners (US$mn), 2002-2009
- Table: The Czech Republic's Main Export Partners (US$mn), 2002-2009
Global Oil Products Price Outlook
- Table: BMI's Refined Products Forecasts, 2010-2016
- Table: Middle East Outperforms In Terms of Passenger Growth
- Domestic Politics
- Regional Political Outlook
- Table: Czech Republic Economic Activity, 2011-2016
- Czech Airlines Cargo
- AWT Cechofracht
- CD Cargo
Czech Republic Demographic Outlook
- Table: The Czech Republic's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
- Table: The Czech Republic's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
- Table: The Czech Republic's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
- Table: The Czech Republic's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Transport Industry
About Business Monitor International
Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010
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