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New Market Research Report: Iran Telecommunications Report Q1 2013

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2013-01-01 05:47:23 - Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Iran Telecommunications Report Q1 2013", is now available at Fast Market Research

BMI View: Iran's mobile penetration was reported as exceeding 110% in the third quarter 2012. Although the fixed-line and internet sectors continue to record positive growth, they remain restricted by tight government regulation, censorship and underinvestment in network infrastructure. All three sectors present significant growth opportunities but we expect the mobile sector to continue to outperform because of superior network investments and competition between the operators.

Key data

?? There has been no new data released by the ITU or operators, and therefore new data in our Q113 report is based on BMI estimations. ?? Quarterly mobile growth averaged 3.5% in the 12 months to September 2012. ?? Iran's mobile ARPU is unchanged in Q312, although with the increasing sanctions imposed by

the EU, we see it falling over Q412 and beyond.

Full Report Details at
- ..

Risk/Reward Ratings

Iran jumped considerably in BMI's Risk/Reward ratings for the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region. Its movement from 14th place to 11th place was triggered by an increase in Industry Reward and Country Risk scores. While the strong performance of the telecommunications market in Q212 was promising, in the wake of increased political risk, and Western sanctions, BMI doubts the market will be able to sustain this position into Q213.

Key Trends And Developments

EU sanctions were implemented against Iran in October, in an effort to increase pressure on the government to end its uranium enriching program. The sanctions caused the rial to fall to historic lows, which could slice 5% or more off South African telecoms provider MTN's full-year earnings. MTN took a 49% stake in mobile operator Irancell in 2005. It now contributes about 9% to its earnings. The official currency exchange rate is IRR12,600 per US$1, but the price on the open market hit a record IRR37,500 in October 2012.

Iranian digital production, especially laptop and computer imports, has been significantly hit by the US dollar rate, reports ILNA. The US dollar rate that rose to IRR26,200/US$, compared with IRR21,400/US$ in the week ended September 8 and IRR10,400/US$ in January 2011. Meanwhile, rapid variations in the country's forex market have also confused Iranian importers.

Sweden has protested against the planned sanctions, citing the interests of its Iranian minority. However, Israel speculated that Sweden is opposed to sanctions due to Ericsson's business ties to the country. An Israeli Foreign Ministry official said "We know that in Sweden they fear that if the deal between Ericsson and Iran is cancelled this could have implications for the company's other deals."

Report Table of Contents:

Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
- Iran Mobile SWOT
- Iran Wireline SWOT
- Iran Political SWOT
- Iran Economic SWOT
- Iran Business Environment SWOT
Risk/Reward Ratings
- Middle East And North Africa
- Table: MENA Telecom Risk/Reward Ratings, Q113
- Iran
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Mobile
- Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
- Table: Telecoms Sector - ARPU - Historical Data & Forecasts
- Fixed Line
- Table: Telecoms Sector - Fixed Line - Historical Data & Forecasts
- Internet
- Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2009 - 2016
Market Overview - Mobile
- Regional Perspective
- Table: Iran Mobile Market Regional Comparison, 2011
- Key Developments
Market Data Analysis
- Mobile
- Table: Iran - Mobile Market September 2012
- Market Share
- Networks
- 3G
- Mobile Content
- Mobile Banking
- Mobile Operator Data
- Table: Iran Mobile Market Overview
- Table: MTN Irancell
- Table: Hamrahe Aval (Mobile Communications Company of Iran)
- Table: Taliya (Rafsanjan Industrial Complex)
- Mobile Content
- Regional Outlook
- Fixed Line
- Internet
- Broadband
- Industry Trends And Developments
- Table: Industry Trends And Developments
- Value-Added Services Timeline
- Table: Selected VAS Services
- Mobile Contract Wins
- Table: Mobile Contract Wins
Regulatory Environment & Industry Developments
- Table: Iran's Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
- Legislation And Market Liberalisation
- Privatisation Of TCI
- Competition
- Regulatory Developments
- Licensing And Spectrum
Competitive Landscape
- Key Players
- Table - Key Players: Iranian Telecoms Market
Operator Profiles
- Telecommunications Company Of Iran (TCI)
- MTN Irancell
Regional Overview
- Alcatel-Lucent's Slow Recovery
- Table: Alcatel-Lucent - Quarterly Breakdowns Of Revenue By Segments, 2011-2012 (EURmn)
Demographic Outlook
- Table: Iran's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
- Table: Iran's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
- Table: Iran's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
- Table: Iran's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
Glossary Of Terms
- Table: Glossary Of Terms
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts
- Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
- Table: Ratings Indicators
- Weighting
- Table: Weighting Of Indicators
- Sources

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at

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