2013-02-25 10:05:43 - New Fixed Networks market report from Business Monitor International: "North Africa Telecommunications Report Q1 2013"

BMI View: The North African telecoms markets are recovering from the political and social upheavals of 2011. The more mature Moroccan and Tunisian markets still offer the best opportunities in terms of risks and rewards with respect to investment, and nascent mobile value-added services markets are beginning to take off, with mobile money and gaming highlighted this quarter. Algeria is more of a risk as the government appears set on taking control of all three mobile operators while continuing to persecute foreign investors and equipment suppliers alike. Rebuilding efforts in Libya could see the two mobile operators targeted for privatisation or an outright sale to foreign investors, but the political and business environments remain challenging and prone to sudden collapse.


Full

Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/541235_north_africa_telecommunications_repor ..


Key Data

* Mobile growth is largely being driven by prepaid services, which does little to add value to mobile ARPUs and income relating to non-voice services. However, in Morocco and Tunisia, there are signs that operators are seeing better growth in the more lucrative postpaid market.
* Fixed-line and broadband growth remains variable as demand for traditional fixed telephone lines fluctuates and affordability issues continue to hamper broadband adoption.

Key Trends & Developments

The Algerian government appears to have resolved its dispute with the owners of mobile operator Djezzy and has agreed to establish a joint holding company with Russian co-owner Vimpel Communications (VimpelCom). However, it is unclear whether this deal has the approval of former shareholder, Naguib Sawiris, who launched a multi-billion-dollar lawsuit seeking damages from the state after years of alleged interference with Djezzy. Meanwhile, the government says it will launch 3G licences early in 2013. Qatar Telecom has increased its direct and indirect ownership of Tunisian mobile operator Tunisiana from 75% to 90% and continues with its plans to take full control of Wataniya Telecom, with implications for the Algerian mobile market as the government seeks to use the opportunity to take control of Nedjma from Wataniya.

In Morocco, France's Vivendi Universal has reportedly received a bid for its 53% stake in incumbent Maroc Telecom, potentially worth EUR5.5bn. Other contenders - such as KT Corporation, Etisalat and France Telecom - could yet respond with a counterbid. The change in ownership could lead to a radical change in Maroc Telecom's business strategy and further changes in the Moroccan telecoms market.

Report Table of Contents:

BMI Industry View
SWOT
- SWOT
Industry Forecast
- Algeria
- Table: Algeria Telecoms - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Libya
- Table: Libya Telecoms - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Morocco
- Table: Morocco Telecoms - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Tunisia
- Table: Tunisia Telecoms - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
- Middle East And North Africa Risk/Reward Ratings - Q1 2013
- Industry Rewards
- Country Rewards
- Industry Risk
- Country Risks
- Table: MENA Telecom Risk/Reward Ratings, Q113
- North Africa
Market Overview
- Algeria
- Key Developments
- Mobile
- Table: Algeria Mobile Market, Q312
- Table: Algeria - Mobile Blended ARPUs, 2011-2012 (user/month)
- 3G
- Table: Mobilis
- Table: Djezzy
- Table: Nedjma
- Fixed-Line
- Table: Growth Of Fixed Lines By Technology, 2003-2011 ('000)
- Broadband
- Government Broadband Plans
- Libya
- Key Developments
- Mobile
- Table: Libya Mobile Market, Q312
- A Third Operator
- Fixed-Line
- Broadband
- Morocco
- Key Developments
- Mobile
- Table: Morocco Mobile Market, Q312
- 3G
- Mobile Operator Data
- Table: Maroc Telecom
- Table: Meditel
- Table: Wana
- Fixed-Line
- Table: Fixed-Line Market, 2011-2012
- Broadband
- Tunisia
- Key Developments
- Mobile
- Table: Tunisia - Mobile Market, Q312
- Mobile Operator Data
- 3G
- Mobile Operator Data
- Table: Tunisie Telecom
- Table: Tunisiana
- Table: Orange Tunisia
- Fixed-Line
- Table: Fixed-Line Market, 2011-2012
- Broadband
- Table: Tunisian Internet Market, 2011-2012
Regulatory Development
- Regulatory Overview
- Table: North African Regulatory Environment
- Algeria
- Libya
- Morocco
- Tunisia
Competitive Landscape
- Table: Key Players - North Africa Telecoms Sector
Company Profile
- Algerie Telecom
- Maroc Telecom
- Tunisie Telecom
- Orascom Telecom
- Wataniya Telecom
Regional Overview
- Alcatel-Lucent - Returning To Prominence In Emerging Markets
- Table: Alcatel-Lucent - Quarterly Breakdowns Of Revenue By Segments, 2011-2012 (EURmn)
- Under Pressure Despite Carriers' Needs For More Bandwidth
Glossary
- Table: Glossary Of Terms
Methodology
- Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts
- Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
- Table: Ratings Indicators
- Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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