2013-09-21 08:55:26 - New Fixed Networks market report from Business Monitor International: "Norway Telecommunications Report Q4 2013"
The latest data emerging from Norway reinforces BMI's view that, although it is one of the highest value markets in the world, on a per capita basis, it is also highly saturated and offers few organic growth opportunities for traditional telecoms players. While new mobile operator Network Norway continues to lure customers away from existing players, two of the country's strongest alternative broadband and internet telephony players have merged and the largest cable TV provider is still understood to be up for sale. Regulatory developments that include mobile termination rate (MTR) cuts and the introduction of wholesale fibre access rules put further pressure on operators as over-the-top (OTT) players such as WhatsApp and Netflix vie for consumers' monthly budgets.
* The number of fixed voice accesses declined faster than BMI had been expecting in 2012, according to new data from the regulator. There were 1.396mn accesses in 2012, down 8.3% y-o-y. VoIP has continued to lose ground to mobile services. Our fixed-line forecasts have been revised downwards.
* Mobile ARPUs fell sharply in H113, although NetCom weathered the cuts to MTRs better than Telenor Mobil. We have emphasised the impact on ARPUs in our revised forecasts.
* Telenor launched LTE services in H212 and rolled out LTE-compatible handsets. Network Norway finally selected an LTE core network supplier in H113. Nevertheless, even after four years' activity by NetCom, LTE adoption remains low, at less than 90,000 connections by end-2012.
Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/673245_norway_telecommunications_report_q4_2 ..
Key Trends And Developments
The auction of spare spectrum in the 800MHz, 900MHz and 1800MHz bands is to begin in December 2013. Telenor, NetCom and Network Norway are all expected to bid. However, slow uptake of LTE services to date, plus consumers' preference for 3G-based voice and data plans may ensure that operators take a measured approach to bidding for spectrum. It is unlikely that a new player will enter the market as a result.
Report Table of Contents:
BMI Industry View
- Business Environment
- Table: Telecoms Sector - Mobile - Historical Data & Forecasts
- Table: Norway Mobile ARPU Forecast, 2010-2017 (monthly blended ARPU, NOK)
- Fixed Line
- Table: Telecoms Sector - Fixed Line - Historical Data & Forecasts
- Table: Telecoms Sector - Internet - Historical Data & Forecasts
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
- Table: Western Europe Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: Norway Mobile Market Regional Comparisons, 2012
- Key Developments
- Mobile Growth
- Market Shares And Net Additions
- Table: Net Additions By Operator ('000), Q311-Q213
- Subscription Mix
- Usage (ARPU/MOU)
- Mobile Content/Value-Added Services
- Table: Mobile Contract Wins
- Mobile Operator Tables
- Table: Mobile Market Overview
- Table: Telenor
- Table: NetCom
- Table: Tele2/Network Norway
- Western Europe Mobile Content
- Monetising Footfall
- Interoperable M-Commerce A Stronger Proposition
- Positioning Key To M2M Success
- Fixed Line
- Technology Trends
Industry Trends And Developments
- Regulatory Overview
- Table: Norway: Regulatory Bodies And Their Responsibilities
- Regulatory Developments
- Table: MTR Glide Path 2011-2013 (NOK/min)
- Table: Key Players - Norway Telecoms Sector
- Table: Selected Operator Financial Parameters, 2008-2012
- Telenor ASA
- Telenor Mobil
- TeliaSonera Norway
- The Shift Plan In Detail
- Recent Results
- Table: Alcatel-Lucent: Revenues By Segment, Q113 (EURmn)
- European Heartland Remains Challenging
- Table: Alcatel Lucent: Major European Contracts/Trials, H113
- Table: Norway's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
- Table: Norway's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
- Table: Norway's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
- Table: Norway's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
- Table: Glossary Of Terms
- Table: Key Indicators For Telecommunications Industry Forecasts
- Telecoms Business Environment Ratings
- Table: Ratings Indicators
- Table: Weighting Of Indicators
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