2012-09-03 14:25:26 -
Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Singapore Retail Report Q4 2012", is now available at Fast Market Research
The Singapore Retail Report examines the long-term potential of the local consumer market, but flags short-term concerns about the impact on Singapore's economic outlook of falling house prices. The report examines how best to maximise returns in the Singapore retail market while minimising investment risk, and also explores the impact of a hard landing in China as well as ongoing eurozone woes on the Singapore consumer and on the ability of producers and exporters to realise returns in the short term.
The report also analyses the growth and risk management strategies being employed by the leading players in the Singapore retail sector, as they seek to maximise the growth opportunities offered by the local market.
Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/451385_singapore_retail_report_q4_2012.aspx
Singapore
comes sixth (out of seven) in BMI's Asia Retail risk/reward ratings, although it outperforms significantly for risk.
Among all retail categories, consumer electronics will be the outperformer through to 2016 in growth terms, with sales forecast to increase by 25.9% between 2012 and 2016, from US$4.18bn to US$5.26bn as demand grows for higher-end product categories such as smartphones, HD TV sets, Blu-ray DVD players and entertainment notebooks.
In the competitive arena, BMI sees upside potential in government initiatives that should put the semiconductor and electronics industries on a long-term path to renewed viability.
Over the last quarter, BMI has revised the following forecasts/views:
* BMI retains its full-year growth outlook of 2.6% for Singapore. Although the country allayed fears of a sharp slowdown in Q112, posting above-consensus 9.9% quarter-on-quarter (q-o-q) growth, year-on-year (y-o-y) growth was considerably more muted at 1.6%. While we acknowledge that Q112's 9.9% q-o-q print indicates that the economy does retain some momentum and will now avoid a technical recession, we point to the 1.6% y-o-y figure to underscore the point that a longer-term slowdown is still in progress.
* BMI expects private consumption to continue to support the overall economy with a 5.3% expansion in 2012 as real wages get a boost and inflation moderates. However, we believe that the property sector is at a major inflection point where a negative wealth effect will begin to set in, putting a damper on consumer sentiment in a country where 87% of Singaporeans own their homes. Nevertheless, we forecast that private consumption will grow from its current 38.6% proportion of the economy to 48.1% by 2021.
Report Table of Contents:
SWOT Analysis
- Singapore Retail Business Environment SWOT
- Singapore Political SWOT
- Singapore Economic SWOT
Market Overview
- Key Players
- Current Trends
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Consumer Outlook
- Retail Growth Outlook
- Table: Singapore's Retail Sales Indicators, 2009-2016
- Table: Singapore's Retail Sales Breakdown By Key Segment, 2012f
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Singapore - Economic Activity, 2011-2016
Regional Retail Outlook
- Asia Pacific Retail Outlook
- Table: Asia Pacific Retail Sales, 2009-2016 (US$bn)
- Table: Share Of Regional Retail Sales, 2009-2016 (%)
- Table: Asia Pacific Food Consumption, 2009-2016 (US$bn)
- Table: Asia Pacific Macroeconomic Outlook, 2009-2016
Risk/Reward Ratings
- Asia Pacific Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: Asia Pacific Retail Risk/Reward Ratings
- Singapore's Retail Rating
- Limits Of Potential Returns
- Risks To Realisation Of Returns
Mass Grocery Retail
- Singapore Mass Grocery Retail Industry SWOT
- Market Overview
- Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Estimated Number Of Outlets
- Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Value (US$bn)
- Table: Structure Of Mass Grocery Retail Market By Value (SGDbn)
- Table: Estimated Average Sales Per Outlet By Format, 2011
- Table: Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts
- Industry Forecast
- Table: Singapore Mass Grocery Retail Indicators (US$bn) - Historical Data & Forecasts By Format, 2009-2016
- Industry Developments
Consumer Electronics
- Singapore Consumer Electronics Market SWOT
- Singapore Electronics Industry SWOT
- Market Overview
- Computers
- Table: Computers: Demand, 2009-2016
- AV
- Table: AV: Demand, 2009-2016
- Handsets
- Table: Mobile Handsets: Demand, 2009-2015
- Government Authority
- Industry Forecast
- Table: Consumer Electronics Overview, 2009-2016
- Industry Developments
Automotives
- Singapore Automotives SWOT
- Competitive Landscape
- Table: Singapore - Top 20 New Vehicle Registrations By Company, 4M12
- Industry Forecast
- Table: Registered Vehicles - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2016 (CBUs)
- Industry Developments
Demographic Data
- Table: Singapore's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
- Table: Singapore's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
- Table: Singapore's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
- Table: Singapore's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Sources
About Business Monitor International
Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at
www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010
About Fast Market Research
Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.
For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at
www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.
