2013-02-22 13:41:44 - New Country Reports research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research

BMI Ratings - Brief Methodology

Political Ratings

The political ratings are an indicator of political stability, seen as a prerequisite for a stable economy and business environment. The long-term political rating considers more structural elements such as: Is there a functioning democracy? Are there free and fair elections? Is there separation between party and state? Have recent governments pursued similar, enlightened policies amid a stable political environment? The short-term political rating considers more transient influences such as: Have there been recent large-scale demonstrations or strikes? To what extent have these threatened the political status quo? Is unemployment currently a potential source of political instability? What is the current position in the political cycle - to what extent is this contributing to political

risk? Is the government having trouble passing legislation?

Economy Ratings

The economy ratings assess the degree to which the country approximates the ideal of non-inflationary growth with contained fiscal and external deficits and manageable debt ratios. The ratings use as raw material historical data and forecasts fed in from BMI's country databases: as historical data are revised and forecasts change, so the ratings change. Factors in the long-term rating include GDP growth, unemployment, inflation, real interest rates, exchange rates, the fiscal balance, the current account balance and external debt. A number of other structural factors are also thrown into the equation, including dependence on the primary sector, reliance on commodity imports, reliance on a single export sector and central bank independence. The factors included in the short-term rating are a subset of those in the long-term rating.


Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/536378_serbia_montenegro_and_kosovo_business ..


Business Environment Rating

The business environment rating is a broad indicator of the investment climate, for both domestic and foreign players. While areas such as competitiveness, finance, openness and environment comprise the bulk of the rating, there is also an important feed from the political and economy ratings. The factors considered include: the state of the national infrastructure, the education system, cronyism/ corruption, red tape, the legal framework, property rights, market access and the corporate tax regime.

Report Table of Contents:

Executive Summary - Serbia
Chapter 1.1: Political Outlook - Serbia
SWOT Analysis
Domestic Politics
TABLE: SERBIA - POLITICAL OVERVIEW
Long-Term Political Outlook
Chapter 1.2: Economic Outlook - Serbia
SWOT Analysis
Economic Activity
TABLE: SERBIA - ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
Monetary Policy
TABLE: SERBIA - MONETARY POLICY
Fiscal Policy
TABLE: SERBIA - FISCAL POLICY
Balance Of Payments
TABLE: SERBIA - CURRENT ACCOUNT
Chapter 1.3: 10-Year Forecast - Serbia
The Serbian Economy To 2022
TABLE: SERBIA - LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
Chapter 1.4: Business Environment - Serbia
SWOT Analysis
TABLE: BMI BUSINESS AND OPERATION RISK RATINGS
TABLE: BMI LEGAL FRAMEWORK RATING
TABLE: LABOUR FORCE QUALITY
TABLE: EMERGING EUROPE - ANNUAL FDI INFLOWS
TABLE: TRADE AND INVESTMENT RATINGS
Chapter 1.5: Key Sectors - Serbia
TABLE: SERBIAN AUTOMOTIVE PRODUCTION AND SALES, 2010-2017
39TABLE: FOOD CONSUMPTION INDICATORS - HISTORICAL DATA & FORECASTS, 2010-2017
TABLE: MASS GROCERY RETAIL SALES BY FORMAT - HISTORICAL DATA & FORECASTS, 2010-2017
Other Key Sectors
TABLE: AUTOS SECTOR KEY INDICATORS
TABLE: FOOD AND DRINK SECTOR KEY INDICATORS
TABLE: PHARMA SECTOR KEY INDICATORS
TABLE: TELECOMS SECTOR KEY INDICATORS
TABLE: DEFENCE AND SECURITY SECTOR KEY INDICATORS
TABLE: FREIGHT KEY INDICATORS
Executive Summary - Montenegro
Chapter 2.1: Political Outlook - Montenegro
SWOT Analysis
Domestic Politics
Long-Term Political Outlook
Converging Towards The EU
Chapter 2.2: Economic Outlook - Montenegro
SWOT Analysis
Economic Activity
TABLE: MONTENEGRO - GDP BY EXPENDITURE
BE Reforms Crucial For Convergence
TABLE: MONTENEGRO - LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
Chapter 2.4: Business Environment - Montenegro
TABLE: BMI BUSINESS AND OPERATION RISK RATINGS
TABLE: BMI LEGAL FRAMEWORK RATING
TABLE: LABOUR FORCE QUALITY
TABLE: EMERGING EUROPE - ANNUAL FDI INFLOWS
TABLE: TRADE AND INVESTMENT RATINGS
Executive Summary - Kosovo
Chapter 3.1: Political Outlook - Kosovo
SWOT Analysis
Domestic Politics
TABLE: KOSOVO - POLITICAL OVERVIEW
Long-Term Political Outlook
Chapter 3.2: Economic Outlook - Kosovo
SWOT Analysis
Economic Activity
TABLE: KOSOVO - ECONOMIC ACTIVITY
Chapter 3.3: 10-Year Forecast - Kosovo
The Kosovan Economy To 2022
TABLE: LONG-TERM MACROECONOMIC FORECASTS
Chapter 4: BMI Global Assumptions
TABLE: GLOBAL ASSUMPTIONS
TABLE: DEVELOPED STATES, REAL GDP GROWTH FORECASTS
TABLE: BMI VERSUS BLOOMBERG CONSENSUS REAL GDP GROWTH FORECASTS (%)
TABLE: EMERGING MARKETS, REAL GDP GROWTH FORECASTS

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010

About Fast Market Research

Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at www.fastmr.com or call us at 1.800.844.8156.