2013-09-18 09:05:46 - Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Syria Defence & Security Report Q4 2013", is now available at Fast Market Research
BMI's Syria Defence & Security report for Q413 examines: the country's civil war; the domestic, regional and international ramifications of the conflict; and Syria's place in the Middle East and the wider world. It also examines the country's armed forces and its military procurements. As this report went to press (in September 2013), the United States was preparing to carry out 'limited' airstrikes against Syria in response to the Assad regime's alleged use of chemical weapons on August 21, 2013 that killed hundreds of people. Our overall view is that while the civil war shows no immediate signs of ending, the regime had, prior to threats of US military action, appeared to be gradually gaining the upper hand against the
rebels, and was slowly winning back territory which had fallen out of its control.
The report argues that realistic development of the Syrian economy and its political structures is all but impossible while the country's civil war continues. Both outcomes of the conflict are fraught with risks. Should Assad remain in power, Syria will face isolation from the international community and be perceived as a pariah state. However, his ousting could usher in a renewed bout of violence as disparate factions united only in their opposition to his regime fight for political control. Furthermore, there is every chance that should Assad eventually be removed from power, an Islamist regime would take its place.
Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/684748_syria_defence_security_report_q4_2013 ..
At the international level several countries, notably those in the West and the Gulf, have supported the arming of some of Syria's rebel groups, and flows of materiel to them are already occurring. Although there is widespread outrage at the Assad regime's apparent use of chemical weapons on civilians, public support in Western states for military intervention is weak. This mitigates against the US Obama administration and its NATO allies carrying out a massive multi-week or multi-month air campaign over Syria as it did in Libya in 2011 and in the former Yugoslavia in 1999.
Report Table of Contents:
BMI Industry View
- Syria Security SWOT
- Syria Defence SWOT
- Business Environment
- Defence Expenditure
- Table: Defence Expenditure
- Table: Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2017 (US$mn)
- Armed Forces
- Table: Armed Forces ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
- Table: Manpower Available For Military Service, 2010-2017 (aged 16-49 unless otherwise stated)
- Defence Trade
- Economic Analysis
- Table: Syria - Economic Activity
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
- MENA Risk Reward Ratings
- Table: Middle East And Africa Regional Security Ratings
- Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
- Syria Risk Ratings
- Syria Defence Market Overview
- Arms Trade Overview
- Armed Forces and Government Spending
- Industry Trends and Developments
- Weapons of Mass Destruction
- Syria Security Overview
- Domestic Threats
- Regional Threats
- International Threats
- Middle East and Africa Security Overview
Global Industry Overview
- Global Political Outlook
- Defence Industry
About Business Monitor International
Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010
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