2013-02-26 01:43:24 - New Materials research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research
BMI View: The South African metals industry will be characterised by steady consumption growth outstripping production growth in the coming years. Investment in production facilities will be constrained by several factors including persistently low output prices, rising energy costs and further aggressive wage negotiations by unions.
In terms of the domestic market, metals consumption will track the economic trend and economic growth in South Africa is expected to be slow but steady with a modest recovery expected over following years. We see strong autos production growth as the key driver of metals consumption in the years ahead rather than construction. We forecast autos production to grow by an annual average of 10.2% over 2012-2016, while construction industry vale will grow by
only 3.8% annually over the same period.
Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/541304_south_africa_metals_report_q2_2013.as ..
The key immediate threat to the South African metals industry is the disruption of raw material supplies from strikes in the mining sector, but long-term structural problems such as high electricity prices will also be deleterious to investment. The report examines how producers are minimising investment risk and also explores the impact of the increasingly precarious external macroeconomic environment on exporters and their ability to realise returns. The report also analyses the trends in end markets, such as construction and the automotive industry, which are experiencing varying levels of success and growth.
Report Table of Contents:
BMI Industry View
- Steel Forecast
- Table: South Africa - Steel Consumption & Production ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise)
- Table: Table: South Africa - Steel Production & Trade Historical Data ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise)
- Aluminium Forecast
- Table: South Africa - Primary Aluminium Production, Consumption & Balance ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise)
- Nickel Forecast
- Table: South Africa - Refined Nickel Production, Consumption & Balance ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise)
- Steel Price Forecast
- Steel To Average US$370/tonne In 2013
- Table: BMI Steel Forecast
- Table: Steel Forecast
- Commodities Forecast
- Iron Ore: Holding Up, For Now
- Steel: Bleak Outlook
- Aluminium: Major Gains Over
- Copper: Global Stockpiles Pose Downside Risk
- Lead: Heading Lower
- Nickel: No Return To 2012 Highs
- Tin: Continued Outperformance
- Zinc: Bounce Is Coming To An End
- Table: BMI Commodity Price Strategy
- Table: Select Commodities: Performance & BMI Forecasts
- South Africa Competitive Landscape
- Structural Issues
- Table: Table: South Africa - Select Listed Metals Producers
- Anglo American
- Table: Anglo American - Key Financial Data
- Table: Table: ArcelorMittal - Key Financial Data
- BHP Billiton
- Table: Table: BHP Billiton - Key Financial Data
- Impala Platinum
- Table: Impala Platinum - Key Financial Data
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Cross Checks
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Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010
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