2013-02-01 01:47:33 -
Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "India Power Report Q1 2013", is now available at Fast Market Research
BMI View: In light of India's economic and demographic growth, we expect power consumption to increase from an estimated 697.65 terawatt hours (TWh) in 2011 to 1286.19TWh in 2021. The country's 12th Five-Year Plan anticipates energy demand will grow by 6% per annum and electricity capacity will expand by 100 gigawatts (GW). Critical to the plan is the focus on measures to combat the continued rise in India's dependence on imported energy, and a move to favour diversification towards renewable sources as well as nuclear. The FY2012/13 budget announcement is indicative of this focus, with the Indian government initiating a series of incentives and measures that will benefit the power sector.
Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/529379_india_power_report_q1_2013.aspx
The key trends and
developments in the Indian electricity market are:
* Several developments in H212 within India's renewables industry highlight the continued interest the sector is receiving from private investors and the political will that underpins it. We expect further significant growth in the industry, and maintain our belief that renewables present significant investment opportunities. However, we highlight that renewable-generated electricity is unlikely to contribute significantly to the country's overall power generation capacity. This is founded on our concerns about the sheer size of India's electricity market, coupled with our long-held view that the renewable industry will not reach its full potential.
* India's coal shortage looks set to intensify as the weather turns wetter and colder. At the heart of the problem lies the inability to launch a new mining bill that will address the sector's poor business environment, as well as state-owned coal miner Coal India's inability to maximise the country's coal potential. We believe coal shortages are likely to remain a downside risk to Indian power producers and infrastructure activity over the short to medium term.
* In the worst electricity disruption in a decade, two separate grid failures cut power supply to more than 600mn people in 22 states at the end of July 2012. We believe the disruption is likely to have come about as a result of the lack of investment in India's transmission and distribution network, as well as in the broader electricity market. Consequently, we believe the July disruption could be the spark that ignites a wave of long-needed reform in India's electricity sector.
The Indian power sector's track record is testament to the difficulties the country faces in implementing its ambitious targets. State government indebtedness is a major obstacle to marshalling the massive infrastructure investment required, and a lack of depth in the Indian financial sector also limits funding options. Furthermore, there is still a lack of regulatory transparency, longevity and certainty regarding the domestic power sector.
Report Table of Contents:
SWOT Analysis
- India Power SWOT
Regional Industry Overview
- Table: Vietnam's Power Development Roadmap
Industry Forecast Scenario
- India Snapshot (Macro)
- Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data
- Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
- India Forecast Scenario
- Electricity Generation and Power Generating Capacity
- Table: India Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2017
- Table: India Total Electricity Generation Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021
- Table: India Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2017
- Table: India Electricity Generating Capacity Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021
- Electricity Consumption
- Table: India Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2017
- Table: India Total Electricity Consumption Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021
- Transmission & Distribution, Imports & Exports
- Table: India Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2017
- Table: India Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021
- Table: India Trade Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2017
- Table: India Trade Long Term Forecasts, 2014 - 2021
Key Policies/Market Structure
- Regulation And Competition
- Key Projects Database
- Table: India Major Projects - Power
Power Risk/Reward Ratings
- Asia Regional Power Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: Asia Power Risk/Reward Ratings
- India Power Risk/Reward Ratings
- Rewards
- Risks
Competitive Landscape
- Power Grid
- National Thermal Power Corporation
- National Hydro-Electric Power Corporation
- Nuclear Power Corporation Of India
Company Monitor
- National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC)
- NHPC
Glossary of Terms
- Table: Glossary of Terms
Methodology And Sources
- Industry Forecasts
- Power Industry - Data Methodology
- Generation and Consumption Data
- Electricity Generation Capacity Data
- Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
- Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators
- Sources
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Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at
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