2013-08-26 10:49:22 - New Transportation market report from Business Monitor International: "Venezuela Autos Report Q4 2013"
Vehicle sales in Venezuela declined 15.2% year-on-year (y-o-y) in H113, to 57,280 units. This follows a 39.1% y-o-y decline in June, to 7,732 units. We hold a bearish outlook for consumer sentiment, and maintain our forecast for a 19% decline in the market in 2013.
We believe that the poor macro picture in Venezuela will continue to impact vehicle sales over the year. The government's currency devaluation in February will pose a considerable upside risk to inflation, hike interest rates for vehicle loans, and make vehicle imports more expensive, thus eroding consumers' purchasing power and affecting sales volumes. We expect this to continue to filter through to consumer sentiment over the course of the year.
Full Report Details at
remains bearish on vehicle production in Venezuela, as the government continues to intervene in the economy, further restricting access to foreign currency and implementing import restrictions on vehicle components. Further, the recent currency devaluation will serve to make supplier imports more expensive, exacerbating shortages of components.
BMI has long maintained that in order to see sustained growth in vehicle production, the regulatory environment needs a complete overhaul, particularly in the issuance of assembly permits and access to foreign currency. This does not look likely, however, and Venezuela continues to rank below the regional average on BMI's Risk/Reward Ratings.
Report Table of Contents:
BMI Industry View
- Business Environment
- Production, Sales and Trade
- Table: Autos Sales, 2010-2017
- Table: Vehicle Sales By Brand
- Used Cars
- Table: Autos Production, 2010-2017
- Table: Venezuela Production By Brand
- Table: Autos Trade, 2010-2017
- Table: Car Ownership Rate, 2010-2017
- Passenger Vehicles
- Table: Passenger Car Segment, 2010-2017
- Company News
- Commercial Vehicles
- Table: Commercial Vehicle Segment, 2010-2017
- Macroeconomic Forecast
- Table: VENEZUELA - GDP BY EXPENDITURE, REAL GROWTH %
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
- Regional Overview
- Company Monitor
- Table: Audi Sales By Region
- General Motors Company (GM)
- Toyota Motor
Global Industry Overview
- Global Industry Overview
- Table: Venezuela's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
- Table: Venezuela's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
- Table: Venezuela's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
- Table: Venezuela's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
- Automobile Industry
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