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Peru Shipping Report Q1 2014

Peru shipping market forecast to benefit from strong growth in the economy forecast over the next few years

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2014-01-09 07:56:02 - Peru Shipping Report Q1 2014 - a new market research report on

While we expect real GDP growth to level off at around 5.0% during our forecast period, below its recent trend, significant mineral wealth, attractive investment opportunities at the sector level, and a growing consumer story underpin our view that Peru will remain one of the most dynamic economies in Latin America in the coming years.

There are downside risks, nevertheless. With exports to China comprising over 15.0% of total exports in 2012 and the mining sector and related industries heavily dependent on foreign investment. Underdeveloped infrastructure, capacity constraints, declines in major mining firms´ capital expenditure programmes and continued social unrest could also weigh on shipping volumes. Because of these risks, we maintain our below-consensus view on real GDP growth, and anticipate



a wider current account deficit and further currency weakness over the next few years.

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Mike King
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