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Poland Metals Report Q1 2014 - New Market Report

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2013-12-06 10:47:17 - New Materials market report from Business Monitor International: "Poland Metals Report Q1 2014"

Although we are optimistic about Poland's economic growth prospects, expecting an expansion of 1.5% in 2013 (recently revised downwards from 1.9%) and steady headline GDP expansion thereafter, we are more cautious regarding metal consumption and production prospects. Key metal consuming segments such as autos and particularly construction will underperform.

Looking at the longer term, we expect growth in Poland as an autos export hub to remain steady, though construction activity will be underwhelming. Production of steel, copper and lead will grow, but at a slower rate than demand. Investment into production facilities will be restrained by several factors including stagnant domestic mine production, higher taxes and low metal prices.

The Polish metals industry is fairly concentrated, with international operators ArcelorMittal and KGHM

dominating steel and copper production, respectively. KGHM is a domestic company with global ambitions, having embarked on a strategy of growth through international acquisitions. The company is also reported to be involved in the construction of two coal-fired units with state-controlled PGE in the southern city of Opole. Such expansion will be challenged by our expectation for copper prices to trend lower in the years ahead.

Full Report Details at

Report Table of Contents:

BMI Industry View
- Metals SWOT
Industry Forecast
- Steel: Waiting On An Autos Sector Recovery
- Table: Poland - Steel Historic Data & Forecasts ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise)
- Table: Poland - Steel Historical Data ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise)
- Copper: Surplus To Stagnate
- Table: Poland - Refined Copper Production, Consumption & Balance ('000 tonnes, unless stated otherwise)
Regulatory Development
- Table: Poland - Political Outlook
Commodities Forecast
- Iron Ore: Rally To Fade In Q413
- Steel: Supply Glut To Endure
- Aluminium: Surge Gives Way
- Copper: Weak Outlook
- Lead: Short-Term Weakness
- Nickel: Still The Laggard
- Zinc: Still A Surplus Market
- Table: Select Commodities - Performance And BMI Forecasts
- Table: Global Commodities Strategy
- Steel Price Forecast
- Table: BMI Steel Forecast
- Table: Steel Forecast
Competitive Landscape
- Table: Europe - Largest Listed Metal Producers
Company Profile
- Table: KGHM - Key Financial Data
- ArcelorMittal
- Company Strategy
- Company Details
- Financial Data
- Table: ArcelorMittal - Key Financial Data
- Cross Checks

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Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at

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