2012-08-30 16:41:44 - Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Poland Power Report Q4 2012", is now available at Fast Market Research
BMI View: Our latest Poland power report, which now excludes a breakdown of electricity generated from non-hydro renewable sources, shows that coal will continue to play a central role in Poland's energy mix. With several projects in the pipeline, including plans for two 900MW power stations in Opole, a 900MW plant in southern Poland and fertiliser producer Pulawy's plans to launch a tender for a gas- or coal-fired power station in Q312, fossil fuels will continue to meet the large majority of Poland's energy requirements. This strategy has produced a mixed reaction from the EC: while it approved Poland's request to continue receiving free carbon emissions allowances in July 2012, the EC will not allow Poland to use these allowances
to build new power plants.
Full Report Details at
In our revised quarterly power report, which now excludes a breakdown of energy generated by nonhydro renewable projects, BMI calculates that energy generation in Poland stood at 142.8 terawatt hours (TWh) in 2011, and forecasts that it will grow by just 0.2% in 2012 to 143.1TWh. A stable population, the economic crisis facing the eurozone and improved energy efficiency measures will keep energy generation growth to a minimum. BMI forecasts average annual growth of 2.0% between 2012 and 2021.
While Poland's potential reserves of shale gas have sparked international investment - in July 2012, five Polish firms signed an agreement to collaboration on shale gas exploration and extraction - coal will continue to be the source of the majority of energy generation in the country. BMI forecasts that natural gas energy generation will post an average annual growth rate of 14.1% between 2012 and 2021, with much of this growth to stem from the 900 megawatt (MW) gas-fired power plant in Grudziadz. Poland also has nuclear ambitions, with a 3GW nuclear power plant planned for 2020, at the earliest.
The key developments in Poland's power sector are:
* A consortium headed by Polish company Polimex-Mostostal and Japan's Hitachi Power secured a contract for the construction of a coal-fired unit in Poland in May 2012.
* Pulawy, a Polish producer of fertiliser, announced plans to launch a tender in Q312 for the construction of an 840MW thermal power plant; Pulawy holds a 50% share in the venture, with utility PGE holding the remaining 50%.
* State-controlled utility Tauron and state-run mining firm KGHM Polska Miedz revealed they will take a minority stake in the construction of Poland's first nuclear power plant, which will be run by PGE. In June 2012, PGE delayed the launch of the tender for the supply of technology for the power plant due to financial concerns.
Report Table of Contents:
- Poland Power SWOT
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Poland Macroeconomic Snapshot
- Table: Country Snapshot: Economic and Demographic Data
- Table: Country Snapshot: Power Sector
- Poland Forecast Scenario
- Electricity Generation and Power Generating Capacity
- Table: Poland Total Electricity Generation Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2016
- Table: Poland Total Electricity Generation Long-Term Forecasts, 2015 -2021
- Table: Poland Electricity Generating Capacity Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2016
- Table: Poland Electricity Generating Capacity Long-Term Forecasts, 2015 - 2021
- Electricity Consumption
- Table: Poland Total Electricity Consumption Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2016
- Table: Poland Total Electricity Consumption Long Term Forecasts, 2015 - 2021
- Transmission And Distribution, Imports And Exports
- Table: Poland Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2016
- Table: Poland Electric Power Transmission And Distribution Losses Long-Term Forecasts, 2015 - 2021
- Table: Poland Trade Data And Forecasts, 2010 - 2016
- Table: Poland Trade Long Term Forecasts, 2015 -2021
Key Policies/Market Structure
- Regulation And Competition
- Sustainable Energy Policies
- Table: Electricity Prices In the EU Member States, As Of November 2011
- Key Projects Database
- Table: Major Projects - Power Plants & transmission grids
Power Risk/Reward Ratings
- Central and Eastern Europe Regional Power Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: CEE Power Risk/Reward Ratings (Scores Out Of 100)
- Poland Power Risk/Reward Ratings
- Polska Grupa Energetyczna (PGE)
Glossary of Terms
- Table: Glossary of Terms
Methodology And Sources
- Industry Forecasts
- Power Industry - Data Methodology
- Generation and Consumption Data
- Electricity Generation Capacity Data
- Power Risk/Reward Ratings Methodology
- Table: Power Risk/Reward Indicators
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