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Rwanda Business Forecast Report Q3 2012

Rwanda Business Forecast Report Q3 2012 - new country guide report published



companiesandmarkets.com
2012-11-14 21:14:56 - Rwanda Business Forecast Report Q3 2012 - a new country guide report on companiesandmarkets.com

We forecast that Rwandan economic growth will slow to 7.5% in 2012 from 8.5% in 2011 as a subdued outlook for the external sector offsets, to some extent, the brighter prospects for domestic demand. We expect that a similar dynamic will keep growth at around the 7.5% level in 2013. We believe that cooling inflationary pressures combined with concerns about

 

 

the effect that weak global demand will have on Rwandan economic growth mean that the central bank is unlikely to make any further rate hikes over the course of 2012. We expect that the policy rate will remain at 7.50% for the remainder of the year.

Key Risk To Outlook

The major risks to our growth forecasts are to the downside and stem from the possibility of poor weather and from a worse than anticipated outcome to the ongoing eurozone debt crisis.

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