Just Released: "Indonesia Tourism Report Q1 2013"

2013-01-01 05:47:27 - Fast Market Research recommends "Indonesia Tourism Report Q1 2013" from Business Monitor International, now available

The Indonesia Tourism Report examines the strong long-term potential being offered by the local tourism industry, bolstered by rising demand for regional travel from China in particular, but cautions that the threat of renewed terrorist activity aimed at foreign tourists and a possible resurgence in the number of cases of bird flu in the archipelago (with nine reported cases over

2012 year-to-date) remain key risks to BMI's future forecasts on this key economic sector.

We also analyse the growth and risk management strategies being employed by some of the leading players in the local tourism sector (ie: airlines and hotel chains) as they seek to maximise the tremendous growth opportunities being offered by the Indonesian market.

Tourist arrivals to Indonesia over January-September 2012 increased by 5% year-on-year (y-o-y) to reach 5,895,288 people, according to information from the Ministry of Tourism and Creative Economy. This leaves the country well on course to meet BMI's full-year target of 7.91mn tourist arrivals. This is lower than the target of 8mn set for the full year by the Ministry of Tourism and Creative Economy. Ngurah Rai Airport in Bali remains the most popular arrival airport for foreign tourists, with 2.14mn travellers having passed through the airport over 9M12, up by 3.45% y-o-y. Soekarno-Hatta Airport in Jakarta remained in second place, on 1.5mn passengers, up by 5.8% y-o-y.

Full Report Details at

Beyond 2012, our forecast is for tourist arrivals to increase by an average annual rate of 4.2% per annum over the next five years, leading to a total of over 9.72mn tourist arrivals by end-2017. If the global economy picks up momentum going into 2013, then there will be clear upside risks to our forecasts.

Over the last quarter, BMI has revised the following forecasts and views:

? BMI believes that the ongoing expansion plans by French hotel chain Accor across Indonesia will only further strengthen its market dominance in the sector. Recent openings include the 201- room Mercure Bali Nusa Dua, the 606-room Ibis Bandung Trans Studio and the All Seasons Bali Benoa. The company has also recently launched an Indonesian language version of its online reservation website, with a view to targeting 40% of global bookings from Indonesia by 2015, up from around 20% currently. ? BMI believes that the recently-announced codeshare agreement between Garuda Indonesia and Abu Dhabi's flag carrier Etihad Airways could prove very beneficial for both airlines. It will give Garuda access to Etihad's extensive network of European and North American destinations, while Etihad now has scope to expand its network towards east Asia.

Report Table of Contents:

Executive Summary
SWOT Analysis
- Indonesia Tourism SWOT
- Indonesia Political SWOT
- Indonesia Economic SWOT
- Indonesia Business Environment SWOT
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Arrivals
- Table: Arrivals Data, 2010-2017
- Accommodation
- Table: Hotels Data, 2010-2017 ('000, unless stated)
- Expenditure
- Table: Expenditure And Economic Impact, 2010-2017
- Inbound Tourism
- Table: Inbound Tourism, 2010-2017
- Outbound Tourism
- Table: Outbound Tourism, 2010-2017
Market Overview - Travel
- Airports
- Commercial Airlines
- Global Oil Products Price Outlook
- Table: BMI's Oil Price Forecasts And Bloomberg Consensus, Average Price (US$/bbl)
Market Overview - Hospitality
- Accommodation
H5N1 Virus Update
Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: Asia Pacific Tourism Risk/Reward Ratings
- BMI Security Ratings
- Table: Asia Pacific Regional Security Ratings
- Table: Asia Pacific State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
- South East Asia Security Overview
- Strategic Outlook For The 2010s
- South East Asia In A Global Context
- Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security
- Main Islamist Militant Groups In South East Asia
- Other Regional Threats
- China-US Rivalry In South East Asia
- Outlook For South East Asia
Global Assumptions
- Table: Global Assumptions, 2011-2017
- Table: Global & Regional Real GDP Growth, % chg y-o-y
- Table: Developed Market Exchange Rates, 2011-2014
- Table: Emerging Market Exchange Rates, 2011-2014
- Developed States
- Table: Developed States Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2011-2014 (%)
- Emerging Markets
- Table: Emerging Markets Real GDP Growth Forecasts, 2011-2014 (%)
- Table: BMI v Bloomberg Consensus Real GDP Growth Forecast, 2012-2013 (%)
Company Profiles
- Accor Asia Pacific
- Garuda Indonesia
- Lion Air
Demographic Outlook
- Table: Indonesia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
- Table: Indonesia's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
- Table: Indonesia's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
- Table: Indonesia's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Tourism Industry
- Tourism Ratings - Methodology
- Table: Tourism Risk/Reward Ratings Indicators
- Table: Weighting Of Components
- Sources

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