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Recent Study: Bahrain Food & Drink Report Q1 2014

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2013-12-13 11:52:49 - Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Bahrain Food & Drink Report Q1 2014", is now available at Fast Market Research

Bahrain's economy remains on a recovery path heading into 2014, boosted by a normalisation of oil output, continued improvements in non-oil business activity, and steadfast fiscal support from the government. We forecast real GDP growth of 4.3% this year and 3.4% in 2014, up slightly from our previous projections of 3.7% and 3.2%. There is the potential for a robust recovery in private consumption in 2013, helped by strong base effects after growth of only 0.7% in 2012. We forecast a 6.0% expansion in 2013, moderating to 4.0% in 2014. This has positive implications for food and drink spending.

Headline Industry Data (local currency)

* 2013 food consumption growth = +13.9% year-on-year (y-o-y); compound annual growth rate (CAGR) to 2017 =

* 2013 soft drink value sales growth = +10.2% y-o-y; CAGR to 2017 = +5.7%
* 2013 mass grocery retail sales = +18.1% y-o-y; CAGR to 2017 = +9.5%

Full Report Details at
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Key Company Trends

Promising Soft Drinks Outlook: Bahrain, much like its regional Gulf neighbours, has seen soft drinks sales soar over the last decade. Buoyed by impressive consumer spending power across the Gulf Cooperation Council, core carbonates continue to perform well. However, we believe the non-carbonated segment offers greater long-term growth potential. With bottled water and functional drinks gradually gaining momentum over our forecast period to 2017, diversification beyond core carbonates will likely shape the industry's growth trajectory.

Waitrose Ups Exposure in Lucrative MGR Market: Upscale UK-based retailer Waitrose has recently increased its foothold in the lucrative UAE mass grocery retail market. Due to launch its sixth store in Abu Dhabi, the move highlights dynamic growth prospects for value added, premium positioned produce, spurred by both increasing Emirati and expatriate demand. BMI expects Waitrose to continue to perform in both its UAE and Bahrain outlets. With both countries the only locations in which the upscale retailer has established international operations (despite an impressive array of international supply deals for the Philippines to the Turks and Caicos Islands), confidence in the growth potential of both markets is further highlighted.

Key Risks To Outlook

A marked drop in oil prices concomitant with a slowdown in growth in Europe, the US and China would pose a significant risk to the country's near-term growth outlook, and likely lead to a marked deterioration in the country's balance of payments and fiscal dynamics. In terms of the latter, Bahrain's breakeven oil price is now close to US$120/bbl, which is by far the highest in the Gulf. Meanwhile, a more pronounced regional crisis stemming from an uptick in tensions between Iran and the West could see risk premiums spike higher, particularly for Bahrain.

Partial Table of Contents:

BMI Industry View
- Food
- Drink
- Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Forecast
- Consumer Outlook
- Food
- Food Consumption
- Table: Food Consumption Indicators, 2010-2017
- Drink
- Soft Drinks
- Table: Soft Drinks Value Sales - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Mass Grocery Retail
- Table: Mass Grocery Retail Sales By Format - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
- Trade
- Table: Food & Drink Trade Balance - Historical Data & Forecasts, 2010-2017
Macroeconomic Forecast
- Table: Bahrain - Economic Activity
Industry Risk/Reward Ratings
- Middle East and North Africa Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: Middle East & North Africa Food & Drink Risk/Reward Ratings Q114
- Table: Middle East & North Africa Food & Drink Risk/Reward Sub-Factor Ratings Q114 (scores out of 10)
- Bahrain Risk/Reward Ratings
Market Overview
- Food
- Agriculture
- Food Processing
- Halal Food
- Drink
- Soft Drinks
- Alcoholic Drinks
- Hot Drinks
- Mass Grocery Retail
Industry Trends And Developments
- Food
- Key Industry Trends And Developments
- Drink
- Key Industry Trends And Developments
- Mass Grocery Retail
- Key Industry Trends And Developments
Competitive Landscape
- Food & Drink
- Table: Key Players In Bahrain's Food & Drink Sector
- Mass Grocery Retail
- Table: Key Players In Bahrain's Mass Grocery Retail Sector
Company Profile
- Bahrain Flour Mills Company
- General Trading And Food Processing Company
- Kraft Foods
- Delmon Poultry Company
- Nestle
- Awal Dairy Company
- EMKE Group
- Fu-Com International/Geant
- Carrefour MAF
Global Industry Overview
- Table: Food And Drink Core Views
Demographic Forecast
- Demographic Outlook
- Table: Bahrain's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
- Table: Bahrain's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
- Table: Bahrain's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
- Table: Bahrain's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
- Food & Drink
- Mass Grocery Retail
- Industry Forecast Methodology
- Sector-Specific Methodology
- Sources
- Risk/Reward Rating Methodology

Full Table of Contents is available at:

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at

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Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.

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