2012-12-02 16:22:12 - New Defense market report from Business Monitor International: "Kuwait Defence & Security Report Q1 2013"
BMI's Kuwait Defence & Security Report for Q1 2013 examines the country's strategic position in the Middle East and the wider world. It provides an overview of the contemporary geopolitical challenges facing the country, and the challenges it may face in the future.
The report examines the trends occurring in the country's current and future defence procurement, and the order of battle across its armed forces. The intention is to provide a clear and concise discussion of these issues. The report's general conclusion is that Kuwait remains vulnerable to regional instability, both in the form of the civil war in Syria, and also the possible consequences of a US/Israeli attack on Iran.
Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/503994_kuwait_defence_security_report_q1_201 ..
The ramifications of the
Arab Spring also continue to have an impact on Kuwaiti politics. Despite being relatively democratic by regional standards, Kuwait has not been unaffected by the regional wave of political reforms. Large-scale protests have continued in Kuwait throughout 2012, and the failure of the Emir to overturn the country's electoral law has further emboldened the opposition. The country's prodemocracy activists want Kuwait to become a constitutional monarchy, with a government no longer dominated by the ruling family. The Emir is opposed to such a transition; however, he cannot overreach in his attempts to hold onto political power for fear of provoking even wider protests that could potentially lead to his downfall. He must decide soon whether to call new elections, even though the likely outcome will be a parliament dominated by the pro-democracy opposition.
In Q3, with the threat of Iran's ballistic missile and nuclear weapons programmes looming large, the security debate among the Gulf Arab states was very much focused on collective missile defence. Having already spelled out its future military commitment to the region, the US is now pushing for the GCC countries to start integrating their separate missile defence systems to create a region-wide missile shield. Though defence co-operation has generally been quite basic even between allied states in the Gulf, momentum now appears to be building towards a new US-GCC missile defence framework. For US contractors that build missile defence systems - this chiefly includes Raytheon and Lockheed Martin - more lucrative orders are anticipated from the Gulf states.
Over the last quarter BMI has revised the following forecasts/views:
* With missile defence high on the agenda, Kuwait announced in late July that it had placed a U$4.2bn order for the latest Patriot missile system, the PAC-3. This will update its existing Patriot architecture.
* The latest anti-government protests and their implications are discussed in full, as well as the options now open to the embattled Emir.
* Recent developments in bilateral relations with neighbouring countries, chiefly Iraq and Iran, are also reviewed.
Report Table of Contents:
- Kuwait Security SWOT
- Kuwait Defence Industry SWOT
- Kuwait Political SWOT
- Kuwait Economic SWOT
- Kuwait Business Environment SWOT
Global Political Outlook
Middle East Security Overview
- The Strategic Outlook For The 2010s
- The Middle East In A Global Context
- Challenges And Threats To Stability And Security
- Regional Power Dynamics
- Nuclear Proliferation
- External Powers
- Scenarios For The Middle East
- Scenario Three: Political Liberalisation Takes Hold
Security Risk Ratings
- Table: Middle East And Africa Defence & Security Ratings
- Table: Middle East And Africa State Vulnerability To Terrorism Index
- No Way Ot Of The Impasse
- Long-Term Political Outlook - Democracy: No Turning Back
Kuwait Security Overview
- Internal Security Situation
- External Security Situation
- Latest Developments
Armed Forces And Government Spending
- Armed Forces
- Weapons Of Mass Destruction
- Arms Trade Overview
- Industry Trends And Developments
- Procurement Trends And Developments
- Procurement Background
- Latest Developments
Industry Forecast Scenario
- Armed Forces
- Table: Kuwait's Armed Forces, 2002-2008 ('000 personnel, unless otherwise stated)
- Table: Kuwait's Available Manpower For Military Services, 2010-2017 (aged 16-49, unless otherwise stated)
- Defence Expenditure
- Table: Kuwait's Government Defence Expenditure, 2010-2017
- Table: Kuwait's Defence Expenditure Scenario - Changing % Of GDP, 2010-2017 (mn)
- Defence Trade
- Table: Kuwait's Defence Exports, 2010-2017 (mn)
- Table: Kuwait's Defence Imports, 2010-2017 (mn)
- Table: Kuwait's Defence Trade Balance, 2010-2017 (mn)
- Key Risks To BMI's Forecast Scenario
- Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Kuwait - Economic Activity, 2011-2016
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Defence Industry
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Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010
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