2013-02-20 08:29:21 - New Transportation research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research
Growth at South African ports is threatened by the global headwinds that are posing challenges for the country as a whole, namely the eurozone crisis and the China slowdown. However, with continued investment in facilities, growth in private final consumption, and ever-expanding coal exports, we forecast growth in both total tonnage and container volumes in 2013.
Headline Industry Data
* Richards Bay Port tonnage throughput in 2013 is forecast to increase by 1.3%. Over the medium term we project a 1.6% average annual increase.
* Port of Durban container throughput is forecast to grow by 4.7% in 2013. Growth will average 6.4% per annum in the medium-term forecast period to 2017.
* 2013 total trade growth is forecast at 3.8%, and
to average 5.3% per annum to 2017.
Key Industry Trends
Ngqura To Continue On Growth Trajectory
BMI believes that the South African port of Ngqura, opened at the close of 2009, will see strong growth in the coming years as the country continues to develop its container-handling capacity. The port's deepwater draught and newly expanded capacity will help attract new business. While we caution that tepid growth in the South African economy poses a challenge to the port, we believe that private consumption should hold up well, which will support volumes at the facility.
Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/536612_south_africa_shipping_report_q1_2013. ..
RBCT To Miss 2012 Target
BMI believes that the Richards Bay Coal Terminal (RBCT) will fall short of the aimed-for 70mn tonnes of throughput in 2012, despite significant investment in enhancing rail links to the facility. An oversupplied market has led to a dip in prices and exporters are unwilling to sell at these deflated prices. There are further risks to the downside in 2013 as the Chinese economy is set to slow.
Port Of Durban Plans US$30bn Expansion
The Port of Durban in South Africa is planning a major ZAR250bn (US$30bn) expansion to raise its capacity from 2.9mn containers to over 20mn. South African rail and logistics firm Transnet says Durban's new infrastructure could be at capacity by 2019. Although the expansion is seen as vital for the country's economy, environmentalists and residents who live around the port are anxious about industrial 'creep'.
Key Risks To Outlook
The key threats to our outlook for South Africa's shipping sector are external. South Africa is acutely exposed to the global headwinds facing the world economy, in particular the eurozone crisis and the China slowdown.
Report Table of Contents:
BMI Industry View
- Business Environment
- Port of Durban Q1 2013
- Port of Richards Bay Q1 2013
- Table: Major Port Data, 2010 - 2017
- Table: Trade Overview, 2010 - 2017
- Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2010 - 2017
- Table: Main Import Partners (US$mn)
- Table: Main Export Partners (US$mn)
- Economic Outlook
- Table: South Africa - Real Gdp Growth
- Table: South Africa - Major Gold Expansion Projects
- Table: South Africa - Economic Activity
Industry Trends And Developments
South Africa Company Profile
- Deutsche Afrika-Linien (DAL)
- Global Company Strategy
- Maersk Line
- Mediterranean Shipping Company
- CMA CGM
- Evergreen Line
- COSCO Container Lines Company
- Hanjin Shipping
- China Shipping Container Line (CSCL)
- Mitsui OSK Lines
Global Industry Overview
- Container Shipping: 2013 Offers Promise, But Will Be Tough
- Dry Bulk: Stimulus Offers Short Term Blip
- Liquid Bulk: 2013 To Offer Little Respite For Tanker Operators
- South Africa Demographic Data
- Table: South Africa's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
- Table: South Africa's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
- Table: South Africa's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
- Table: South Africa's Rural And Urban Population, 1990-2020
About Business Monitor International
Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010
About Fast Market Research
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