2014-01-04 04:27:33 - New Transportation research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research
We forecast fairly modest growth in Israel's freight transport sector in 2014, though this will be an improvement for air and rail freight volumes, both of which have suffered declines in recent years. The major port of Ashdod also suffered an estimated fall in volume handling in 2013. Political risk from the civil war in Syria and escalating sectarian tensions in Lebanon could all weigh on the Israeli economy and its freight transport sector (though this also presents transit opportunities). However, with the eurozone set to return to growth following two years of economic contraction, Israel could see a boost in its export volumes. The country is looking towards the future, and is committed to developing its ports, though this
brings with it strike risk from workers disgruntled at the planned privatisation of key facilities.
Headline Industry Data
* 2014 air freight growth is forecast at 1.4%; we project average growth of 1.8% per annum to 2018.
* 2014 Port of Haifa tonnage throughput growth is forecast at 7.2%, and to average 5.1% per annum to 2018.
* 2014 rail freight tonnage is forecast to grow by 1.4%, and to average 2.1% to 2018.
* Total trade growth in real terms in 2014 is forecast to grow 3.3% and average 3.3% to 2018.
Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/754732_israel_freight_transport_report_q1_20 ..
Key Industry Trends
Eurogate's Bid For New Israel Box Terminals A Win-Win: Eurogate is reportedly planning a bid to operate two new container terminals on the Israeli coast. Eurogate's main operations have traditionally focused on Europe, but if it is successful the firm will gain exposure to the high-growth MENA region, traditionally dominated by DP World and Gulftainer. For Israel, the country has fallen behind the trend of being able to cater for mega-vessels; an experienced operator such as Eurogate will bring with it much-needed expertise and investment. El Al Net Profits Rise 54% In Q313: Israel's flag carrier El Al Israel Airlines registered a 54% increase in Q313 net profits to US$57.86mn. The increase is attributed to a rise in revenue and other efficiency measures as the carrier continued to reduce its workforce.
Port Workers Expected To Go On Strike: Israeli ports were expected to shut down in the week ending November 23 due to a strike by port workers, according to Transportation Minister Yisrael Katz. Port workers are protesting plans to increase competition in the sector. Katz added that the strike would adversely affect the economy as 90% of its international trade passes through the country's three maritime gateways.
Key Risks To Outlook
Israel's drive to develop its port sector through establishing private facilities offers the greatest risk to our outlook at present given the high likelihood that the existing ports of Haifa and Ashdod will stage strikes in protest against the move.
On a regional basis, ongoing war in Syria and escalating tensions in Lebanon, in addition to persistent troubles with the Gaza Strip and heightening bellicosity in the rhetoric concerning Iran could all disrupt our forecasts should they escalate and engulf Israel.
Report Table of Contents:
BMI Industry View
- Freight Transport
- Political SWOT
- Economic SWOT
- Business Environment SWOT
- Air Freight
- Table: Air Freight, 2011-2018
- Rail Freight
- Table: Rail Freight, 2011-2018
- Maritime Freight
- Table: Maritime Freight, 2012-2018
- Table: Trade Overview, 2011-2018
- Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2011-2018
- Table: Main Import Partners, 2004-2011
- Table: Main Export Partners, 2004-2011
Industry Trends And Developments
- Air Freight
- Maritime Freight
- El Al Israel Airlines
- Zim Integrated Shipping Services (Zim)
- Political Risk Analysis
- Long-Term Political Outlook
- Table: Israel Political Overview
Oil Price Outlook
- Global Oil Products Price Outlook
- Crude Price Forecasts
- Table: BMI's Oil Price Forecasts, Average Price (US$/bbl)
- Variance Across Product Markets
- Narrower US Market Crude-Product Spreads
- Weak Demand Persists
- Risks To Outlook
- Table: BMI's Refined Products Forecasts, US$/bbl
- Supply: Supported By Global Refining Capacity
- Naphtha: US Gas Hits Demand
- Gasoline And Gasoil/Diesel: Subsidies & Fuel Efficiency Cap Upward Movement
- Jet Fuel: Limited Upward Movement
- Table: Total Air Freight And Passenger Volumes
- Bunker Fuels: Sulphur Control To Hit Rotterdam Hardest
- Economic Analysis
- Table: Israel - Economic Activity
- Table: Israel's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 ('000)
- Table: Israel's Population By Age Group, 1990-2020 (% of total)
- Table: Israel's Key Population Ratios, 1990-2020
- Table: Israel's Rural/Urban Population Split, 1990-2020
- Industry Forecast Methodology
- Sector-Specific Methodology
About Business Monitor International
Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at www.fastmr.com/catalog/publishers.aspx?pubid=1010
About Fast Market Research
Fast Market Research is an online aggregator and distributor of market research and business information. We represent the world's top research publishers and analysts and provide quick and easy access to the best competitive intelligence available.
For more information about these or related research reports, please visit our website at www.fastmr.com
or call us at 1.800.844.8156.