2012-02-05 02:38:19 - New Transportation research report from Business Monitor International is now available from Fast Market Research

We have raised our exports of goods and services projection for 2011 to 16.1% real growth, up from 12.6% previously. However, the overall effect on the net export contribution to headline growth in 2012 will be muted, given that we also raised our full-year import growth forecast to 17.1%, from 12.8% previously. The gap between exports and imports in 2011 has increased, suggesting a net export contribution of 1.8 percentage points (pps) to headline growth in 2011, according to our calculations.

Headline Industry Data

* We expect air freight volumes to grow 7.8% to 11,030 tonnes in 2012. We believe growth will average 7% a year in the five years to 2016.
* At the Port of Klaipeda we forecast growth

in cargo volume of 3.55% to 37.7mn tonnes
* We expect rail freight volumes to grow by 1.55% to 52.6mn tonnes in 2012.
* In 2012 we expect total road tonnage volume to increase by 3.7% to 54.9mn tonnes.


Full Report Details at
- www.fastmr.com/prod/326952_lithuania_freight_transport_report_20 ..


Key Industry Trends

Klaipeda-Kalining Traffic Volume Soars 57.5%

Seven-month volume of container traffic on the Klaipeda-Kaliningrad railway surged 57.5% in the first seven months of 2011 from January-July of 2010, to 430,000 units. The state-owned company plans to resume operation of the Mercury container train in 2011. The train will run between Kaliningrad, Klaipeda and Moscow.

The Mercury was first launched in 2003 as a joint project between Russia, Belarus and Lithuania. Its operation had boosted container traffic on the Kaliningrad railway by two times as much. However, in 2006 the project was cancelled due to low level of profitability.

Agility's China-Lithuania Connection Takes Flight

Agility is entering a niche, but growing market, with the launch of its air freight service from China to Kaunas in Lithuania. BMI notes a trend for linking China with the Baltic States, a strategy we believe is due to the countries' location, offering China an entry point for goods to Russia and Europe.

Risks To Outlook

If the recession in the eurozone and Russia (a key trading partner) is deeper and more protracted than we currently forecast, this would affect Lithuanian economic activity and would likely result in a delay in recovery.

Report Table of Contents:

SWOT Analysis
- Freight Transport Industry SWOT
- Lithuania Political SWOT
- Lithuania Economic SWOT
- Estonia Business Environment SWOT
Industry Trends And Developments
- Maritime
- Rail
- Air
Market Overview
Global Oil Products Price Outlook
Industry Forecast
- Air Freight
- Table: Air Freight, 2007-2016
- Maritime Freight
- Table: Maritime Freight - Klaipeda State Seaport Throughput, 2007-2016
- Rail Freight
- Table: Rail Freight, 2007-2016
- Road Freight
- Table: Road Freight, 2007-2016
- Trade
- Table: Trade Overview, 2007-2016
- Table: Key Trade Indicators, 2008-2016 (US$mn and % change y-o-y)
- Table: Lithuania's Main Import Partners, 2002-2009 (US$mn)
- Table: Lithuania's Main Export Partners, 2002-2009 (US$mn)
Political Outlook
- Domestic Politics
- Long-Term Political Outlook
Macroeconomic Outlook
- Table: Lithuania - Economic Activity, 2011-2016
Company Profiles
- Lithuanian Shipping Company
- Lithuanian Railways Cargo (Lietuvos Gelezinkeliai)
Country Snapshot: Lithuania Demographic Data
- Section 1: Population
- Table: Demographic Indicators, 2005-2030
- Table: Rural/Urban Breakdown, 2005-2030
- Section 2: Education And Healthcare
- Table: Education, 2002-2005
- Table: Vital Statistics, 2005-2030
- Section 3: Labour Market And Spending Power
- Table: Employment Indicators, 2001-2006
- Table: Consumer Expenditure, 2000-2012 (US$)
- Table: Average Annual Wages, 2000-2012
BMI Methodology
- How We Generate Our Industry Forecasts
- Transport Industry
- Sources

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