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Romania Infrastructure Report Q1 2014 - New Report Available

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2013-12-04 03:49:04 - Recently published research from Business Monitor International, "Romania Infrastructure Report Q1 2014", is now available at Fast Market Research

Romania's economy as a whole is forecast to grow in 2013 by 2.4%, according to our Country Risk team's latest macroeconomic outlook. In 2012, after an official data revision, the construction industry grew by 2.8%, in line with our view that it would outperform the wider economy. However, we forecast that the industry will post more muted growth in 2013, which data for H113 certainly supports. For 2013, we expect real growth of 1.7% for the construction industry. Over the period 2014-2017, we expect that Romania's construction market will expand at annual rate of 3.2%, while the period 2018-2022 will see continued annual growth of around 3.1% in real terms, making for a reasonably auspicious long-term outlook in comparison to

the previous years. Risks to our construction sector forecasts are to the downside, with Romania's exposure to the downturn in the eurozone market remaining the major threat top growth and structural barriers despite EU membership weighing heavy on growth. Until the eurozone crisis abates, it is unlikely that the residential construction market will improve in light of concerns over job security and wages.

Full Report Details at
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Key developments over the last quarter:

* Romania's Green Credentials Slip: Previously one of the most attractive renewable markets in the region, Romania's suspended tariffs for the sector in July. Whilst still a growing market, in particular for wind projects, the investment environment for the industry has taken a big hit and as such will be less of a driver of growth within the construction industry.
* Progress on Roads and Waterways: Roads and increasingly waterways have benefitted from European development money with the aim of better integrating Romania with the rest of Europe. Betchel, who had run afoul of Romania's weak public administration, finally settled its dispute over the Transylvanian highway which had been a prime example of the risks of contracts in Romania. Further major highway tenders are expected by the end of 2013, which add to the Comarnic-Brazov highway, which both the EBRD and EIB have said they will finance. China Communications Construction Company, Spedition UMB and Tehnostrade, Vinci, Strabag and Akor and Impregilo SpA and Salini SpA were all shortlisted in May for the contract. Two sections of the Danube River are to receive attention to improve navigability and increase its ability to handle the transport of goods. In a joint project between Romania and Bulgaria, projects worth an estimated EUR231.8mn are underway or in the pipeline. The vast majority of this cost is proposed to be met by the EU as an important step to integrate Romania and its neighbours. The largest waterways project currently under consideration in Romania is the Bucharest-Danube Canal, with an estimated cost of EUR2.58bn. Considering these positive developments within the whole transport infrastructure sector, our real growth rate forecast for 2013 is 2.3% y-o-y, which will then average 3.6% annually between 2014 and 2022.
* Residential and Non-residential construction continues to struggle: Unlike the infrastructure sectors, the residential and non-residential sectors are very susceptible to financial position of individuals and companies. Individuals and companies have not been investing their money in new property as job security and struggling export markets have weighed heavy. With foxed investment forecasted to remain subdued, we are forecasting a real growth rate of just 1.2% in 2013. We note however an increase in construction permits being granted, and an improved outlook for the economy which should improve confidence. Over the 2014-2022 period, the sector will average 3.3% y-o-y growth per annum.

Report Table of Contents:

BMI Industry View
Industry Forecast
- Construction And Infrastructure Forecast Scenario
- Table: Romania Construction and Infrastructure Industry Data 2011-2016
- Table: Romania Construction And Infrastructure Industry Data, 2017-2022
- Transport Infrastructure - Outlook and Overview
- Table: Romania Transport Infrastructure Industry Data, 2011 - 2016
- Table: Romania Transport Infrastructure Industry Data, 2017 - 2022
- Major Projects Table - Transport
- Table: Major Projects Table - Transport
- Energy & Utilities Infrastructure - Outlook and Overview
- Table: Energy & Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data, 2011 - 2016
- Table: Energy & Utilities Infrastructure Industry Data, 2017 - 2022
- Major Projects Table - Energy & Utilities
- Table: Major Projects Table - Energy & Utilities
- Residential/Non-Residential Building - Outlook and Overview
- Table: Romania Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data
- Table: Romania Residential and Non-residential Building Industry Data
- Major Projects Table - Residential/Non-Residential Building
- Table: Major Projects Table - Residential/Non-Residential Building
Industry Risk Reward Ratings
- Romania Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
- Rewards
- Risks
- Central And Eastern Europe - Infrastructure Risk/Reward Ratings
- Table: Central And Eastern Europe Risk Reward Ratings
Market Overview
- Competitive Landscape
- Table: Key Company Financials
Company Profile
- Strabag
Global Industry Overview
- Table: Latin America PPP Round-Up
- Industry Forecast Methodology
- Sector Specific Methodology
- Risk Reward Rating Methodology
- Sector Specific Methodology
- Table: Infrastructure Risk Reward Rating Indicators
- Table: Weighting Of Indicators

About Business Monitor International

Business Monitor International (BMI) offers a comprehensive range of products and services designed to help senior executives, analysts and researchers assess and better manage operating risks, and exploit business opportunities, across 175 markets. BMI offers three main areas of expertise: Country Risk BMI's country risk and macroeconomic forecast portfolio includes weekly financial market reports, monthly regional Monitors, and in-depth quarterly Business Forecast Reports. Industry Analysis BMI covers a total of 17 industry verticals through a portfolio of services, including in-depth quarterly Country Forecast Reports. View more research from Business Monitor International at

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